Friday, March 11, 2005

Common Sense is moving on up

I'm sorry for the strange format, but it is necessary so that Typepad could import all of my archives and comments. I finally got fed up with Blogger and not being allowed to post all day yesterday, so I decided to move to a new Blogging Publisher. Typepad seemed like a good provider and I'm learning all of the new features and I'm working on getting things set up so that it will be as seamless a transition as possible. I've still got to enter the new domain into Google and maybe some news aggregators and set up pings for blog sites, but I'll work on that. All you have to do is click here to visit Common Sense's new home. I hope you still come visit and that this isn't going to be a big inconvenience for you. I should think it's not that bad, just update your bookmarks and change your aggregators. I'll take care of the rest.

Thursday, March 10, 2005

House Bill 2 passes, 76-71

It was a closer than expected vote, with only 1 Democrat not voting against and 9 Republicans joining us. I'm too lazy to actually do my own rsearch, so here's Andrew's post.

The Republicans who sided against the bill were Fred Brown, Charlie Geren, Toby Goodman, Bob Griggs, Pat Haggerty, Delwin Jones, Ed Kuempel, Tommy Merritt and Todd Smith. All the mean things I say about Republicans are not meant towards you, until you do something to screw it up (which I'm sure they will soon). That goes double for the four that voted for Hochberg's amendment- Brown, Goodman and Merritt (they were joined by Bob Hunter, who voted for the final bill).
HB 2 doesn't go into effect until HB 3 passes, and, at the moment, there aren't enough votes in the House for it to pass. And the Senate will undoubtedly remake HB 2 in their image. Long story short, we are still a long way away from having any real plan to fund public education in Texas.

In trouble again?

I've never seen someone who is set on breaking ethics rules and generally just being a sleazeball.

A delegation of Republican House members including Majority Leader Tom DeLay accepted an expense-paid trip to South Korea in 2001 from a registered foreign agent despite House rules that bar the acceptance of travel expenses from foreign agents, according to government documents and travel reports filed by the House members.
When will the madness end, and when will someone just kick him out of Washington? I know Republicans have got to be tired of having to defend the kind of crap he pulls. More interesting, "The cost of DeLay's trip was the fourth largest for any single trip by lawmakers from Jan. 1, 2000, to September 2004, according to the Medill tally." At least 3 Democratic Congressmen accepted trips from the exchange, as well as an aide to Nancy Pelosi. Even if the ethics committee doesn't punish him, that doesn't mean that his continued trouble with them won't become a major Republican liability.

Wednesday, March 09, 2005

More free advertising

This time its for gubernatorial hopeful, Chris Bell.

Dear Friend, If you're as tired as I am of hearing that Democrats can't win in Texas, then just think what Democrats in Kansas felt like going into their 2002 gubernatorial election. Registered Democrats comprised only 28 percent of that state's electorate and no Democrat had won an open race for governor in over 65 years. But Democrat Kathleen Sebelius won that race, and the political environment that produced her win has striking parallels to the environment here in Texas today. As speculation increases that Sen. Hutchison has all but decided to challenge Rick Perry for the Republican nomination, pundits are already talking about a bitter, bloody primary battle that would strain GOP loyalties and alienate moderate Republicans as well as Republican-leaning Independent voters. This closely mirrors the rift within the Kansas GOP, a rift so severe that one political magazine described Kansas as a virtual three-party state in which the moderate and conservative wings of the state party fractured to support their own candidates and agendas. As intra-party squabbling continued over education funding and conservatives' censorship of state curriculums, independents and moderate Republicans began to shift into the Sebelius camp. On Election Day, the pro-choice Sebelius won a resounding 53-45 victory in one of the most culturally conservative states in the nation, a state that President Bush would go on to win by 25 points in 2004. The Democratic victory in Kansas speaks closely to our current mission. Debates over school funding and legalized gambling continue to strain relations between GOP moderates and conservatives within the Texas Legislature. Sen. Hutchison's expected entry into the race will further divide Republicans, and a divisive GOP primary will produce a weakened and vulnerable nominee. The lesson from Kansas is clear: When the Republican Party turns on itself, Democrats will win even in the reddest of red states.
All the free media he can get.

CHIP funding wishlist

My very own state senator, Kip Averitt, R-McGregor, managed to keep the hope that the enrollment period for the CHIP program could again be raised to one year. The finance committee was set to block it, but Averitt managed to put it onteh Senate Budget Wishlist, meaning that if the money comes along later it might happen. The prospect is dim, but still alive. All this of course, is because of Chet Edwards. One of hte many things that helped Edwards survive was that he was running against Arlene Wohlgemuth, who instigated the cuts during hte budget crisis 2 years ago. He was able to bludgeon her over the head with cutting children's health insurance and losing the state money while doing it, and all she could come back with were the usual Republican claims of "tax and spend liberal" and "I got my picture taken with the president." Averitt saw the writing on the wall and people in his district were already pissed at him for not stopping redistricting when he was put on the judicial committee that was holding town halls across Texas. His response was something along the lines of "I know you don't want to spend millions to redistrict, but it's going to happen anyway and I will try not completely destroy your congressional district." That didn't happen, and Edwards still managed to survive, though Fort Hood was removed and he had to run to represent Burleson as well as College Station and Waco. Now Kip is doing all he can to restore CHIP funding to pre-2002 levels so that he can be the hero again. It's sad, but let him think whatever he wants, as long as funding gets restored and little kids get their health insurance. I do plan on campaigning hard for whatever Democrat decides to run against him, though. Many thanks to Dan Genz, staff writer at the Waco Tribune-Herald, for telling me about this, though I couldn't pay him for the info because I'm a cheap bastard.

Defining that which cannot be defined

Jacob Weisberg writes in Slate today trying to answer the question: Who is a journalist? He makes a number of really good points, one of the best is his closing statement that instead of trying to define "who" a journalist is and isn't, we should understand that in a democracy, being a journalist is a basic universal right. If we can't all investigate and speak freely, then it really isn't a free society. Weisberg, I think, makes the argument that if you engage in a journalistic practice, then you are a journalist. If an when you do not engage in a journalistic practice, then you are not. It is a lot more complicated than that, but that is a good framework that I think I would agree with. In other words, when I'm writing about how Democrats need to beat Republicans because the GOP is a bunch of God-less, evil old men, I'm engaging in partisan hackery and not journalism. When I'm writing like I am now about a subject, that's journalism. The point is, journalism is more of an abstract concept, unlike being a certified member of the Bar with a test score to prove it. Writing is an abstract excercise and it will always be such. But by understanding that being a journalist is more about what you do than where you went to school, we can begin to have legal protections for all of those who are in fact journalists, which is important in a democracy. Weisberg also has this passage which I think is great.

In response, many old-line journalists have tried to define their work in a ways that exclude the new aspirants. Insitutionalized journalists argue that bloggers don't do conventional reporting, aren't accurate, aren't responsible, or aren't paid—and hence are not genuine reporters. They fret that the current influx of amateurs will undermine professional standards or that seasoned professionals will be unfairly brought down by an electronic lynch mob, as some posit that Dan Rather of CBS and Eason Jordan of CNN were. Disregard all such self-interested whining. The breakdown of what once were formidable barriers to entry in the field of journalism is good news for democracy as a whole and for the press itself. The great cacophony of voices in the blogosphere means that more views are being represented, that more subjects are being examined in detail, and that more sunlight shines into institutions of all kinds. Thousands of bloggers ranting from their soapboxes mean that our political culture encompasses bracing debate about everything people disagree about. If you don't like this raucous clamor emanating from cyberspace, you're not really comfortable with democracy.
I couldn't have said it better myself. I think the MSM doesn't like blogging because of what the bloggers represent, people who read the news who are tired of not getting all the facts and not getting the truth. I think, also, the fact that they have to give up the biggest bias in journalism, laziness, or risk losing their jobs motivates them to attack blogging. And believe me, more than conservative or liberal political tendencies, laziness is the biggest bias. Some reporters are so lazy that they can't be bothered with even doing a Google search before writing. They just read the press release and call someone for a few choice quotes and turn something in. It's even worse for the 24-hour news channels. They will literally have 12 hours of experts talking about a routine check-up on a former president. And in between those 5-minute segments with experts explaining that everything will be fine and that "the routine check-up is indeed routine and I wouldn't read anything into it", they show the same video clips that they've been showing all day. It's ridiculous. They don't even read the press release; they just make shit up out of whole cloth. Not every reporter I know is like that. In fact, I would say that the guys here at the Trib are above average for trying to get news or find someone for the right quotes or information. But I read other newspapers, too, and the lack of dedication is very apparent in their writng. And it's blatantly obvious for televsion. Blogging is a new vanguard in journalism, and hopefully we will get some people fired who should have been better at their jobs. Democracy and freedom are at stake.

Totally shameless promotion

I've added In the Pink to the blogroll on the right, so that you know, easy to get to and all. I also highly uggest you visit there and sign up for the email, especially if you've got a huge blogroll like me with 50 or 60 blogs to read everyday. It's nice to just have one or two by email that you can read without doing anything. I hope all this makes it easier to read some of the really good Texas blogs out there. I need to add Greg's Opinion, since I read it everyday, and probably Bull Moose, since he is a fellow Wacoan. I'm holding off on trying to get my entire blogroll put over to the right, just because it would be such a long list and I'd have to divide it up into sections of interest or by area or something. Besides, I think it looks fine the way it is, just as long as I put a link to my entire blogroll somewhere. I also hope that any searches for In the Pink also reference me for all the times I mention her. I am a pragmatist after all. But it's nice to help her get all the traffic I can, even if no one comes to visit me.

I'm shocked and awed

I can't believe Bill Bishop doesn't read In the Pink. I mean, anyone who is anyone reads In the Pink, especially after yesterday's AAS article on the flap that In the Pink caused (do you think I've worked in enough references to In the Pink? Free advertising!). Today's Lasso has two posts on Gov. Goodhair's "secret weapon" to create jobs, the Texas Enterprise Fund. He points out that for Dec. '03-Dec. '04, Texas had below average job growth, so he wonders how Perry got the governor's cup. Hmmm, and just one day after the article that should have vaulted this onto front pages. Everything that she said about Site Selection Magazine and its connection to the Enterprise Fund is a factoid, which all have the benefit of being provably true. You know, the sooner we get some serious communication between bloggers and the MSM, the better off everyone will be. We'll have some good original reporting and really good fact-checking that only bloggers seem to be able to do.

More Joementum than you can shake a stick at

In the interest of journalism, I feel that I have to inform you about a site called Time To Go Joe. I've been meaning to write something about his appearance on Wolf Blitzer on Sunday, but I just haven't gotten around to it. I will do that some time tonight or in the early morning. Until then, visit the site and tell me what you think, pro or con.

Ahead of the curve

Today's Statesman story was on the debate that was going to happen today, not on the debate from yesterday. I think this graf sums up exactly what is wrong with the leadership in this state.

In a surprise move, Gov. Rick Perry warned publicly that a defeat of the tax plan, House Bill 3, would prompt a special legislative session, a message he acknowledged was intended to "keep the process moving" by securing House approval of a plan, any plan.
Because, obviously at a time like this, you don't care if your multi-billion dollar plan to refinance schools works, just that you have one. Can somebody please kick this yahoo out of office. The Trib's own Dan Genz has a piece on last night's developments. Wouldn't you know it, one of our local legislators is Jim Dunnam, a Democrat, and the other is Doc Anderson, who didn't want to talk about school financing to a reporter. Hmmm. This has become a total circus. Maybe it was already and I just wasn't paying attention. Is there no hope for the children?

That's comforting

After Porter Goss' words last week, I was already feeling on edge about my safety, but now the NY Times is reporting that Director Mueller has announced the death of the FBI's $170 million computer upgrade. Tuesday he said

"Our ability to handle a project like that was not what I thought it was," he said. "It's my fault for not having put the appropriate persons in position to review that contract and assure that it was on track."
At least he's taking personal responsibility for it. And he's right, this failure is an oppurtunity to get a better system that is more modern and more flexible, I'm still a little outraged. Oh, not by the money. I don't care how much they spend. I'm always in favor of intelligence (in all its definitions) and intelligence is no place to start nickel and diming. I'm more outraged that it is going to take another 3 and half years to design and install a system that works. Not too long ago, the guys at the FBI couldn't do the equivalent of a Google search and things don't seem to have progressed too much. And that means we are less secure. And the real shame is that there really is nothing we can do about it. It takes however long it takes. And until the FBI has a new system to search databases and do all the things they need to be able to do, we are going to have live under a system that is a painful reminder of just how unsafe we are because it failed on 9/11.

So much for blogger credibility

I should have said, in the lower post on Andrew's blogging the debate in the Lege, the debate today was on HB 2. Tomorrow (or today... whenever, Wednesday) is the debate on HB 3. Sorry to have confused anyone.

Tuesday, March 08, 2005

Someone does get it!

From The Red State:

Dear Reporters/Journalists, You do not need to be afraid of bloggers. We are not in competition with you. In fact, we need you. Bloggers make news by bringing ignored news to the forefront. You cannot be everywhere, so we will be. In spite of our newness and proclivity for errors, we provide a personal voice that is missing in mainstream media. Information hierarchy has changed from top-down to bottom-up. The sooner you realize that, the quicker we can get to work towards the same goal: free exchange of informed ideas and opinions. We want to be your friends. Really, we do! Nevertheless, we will call you on your bullshit, as a good friend would. Love, The Red State
That's just what we want them to think. Then, when their back is turned... Seriously, though. Someone who works at a newspaper should write about why blogging is not really in competition with the MSM, but working with it.

In defense of In The Pink

I spent all day watching TV from yesterday, so I just read this, but I'm pissed. I read In the Pink everyday and I like Eileen Smith, the very nice who writes it. She seems like a cool person to hang out with and I'd like to think of her as a friend. But Gov. Rick Perry doesn't think so. His flunky went to the Statesman and said this:

"Blogs are certainly appropriate expressions of people's opinions," gubernatorial spokesman Robert Black said Monday. "The general public has to realize on blogs . . . there are no controls on accuracy or honesty. And there's no accountability. "People need to be very careful with what they read in the blogs. Most blogs seem to be run with a pretty severe liberal bent."
All this is because Perry didn't like this post about the governor's cup she wrote. That's just petty. Byron weighs in, pointing out several conservative blogs and ends with "So, my advice to Rick Perry? Stop whining and set up your own damn blog!" That's about the all the advice I have Perry, plus something about anatomy and doing certain things that are impossible because of the Laws of Thermodynamics (geek speak). This also opens up a discussion about accountability in blogging, though. Several commenters weighed in on Byron's post, pointing out that readers give feedback and that it is a self-correcting system. All this is well and good, but I think it is a lot of hogwash. I should start out by saying, I write for myself. No offense to anyone reading this blog, but my number one priority has always been writing about whatever interests me. I don't pick things I think certain readers will like or on things that people suggest. I link to the blogs that I like about things I like. I review movies that I want to watch and write reviews that I would want to read. Whether I had a million readers or 5 (like now!), I would always write like that. I started blogging to write my opinions and allow other people to give me there's so that I could in some way debate to see if I had the courage of my own convictions. If I get a million readers, that's great, but it wouldn't change a thing. Except maybe I would have money from advertising, so I could blog more often about things I want to write about. I should probably also say that, since it is such a personal thing to me, I take a lot of pride in beig able to link to the source I use for whatever quote or information I print. Sometimes it's a simple Google search, sometimes it's more involved. The MSM doesn't do that, they can't do that. Only blogging can. That's why blogging will never really go away. But bloggers link to MSM sources everyday, and it will never really go away. The sooner people realize it is a symbiotic relationship, and not a really hostile one, the sooner we can see a great change in journalism and the media that benefits everybody, especially the reader. I'll end al of this by linking to In the Pink again and her response to all of this. It should most definitely be noted that she did everything by the book, a textbook case of pure journalism, and Perry just couldn't take it. "Shit, truth hurts."(free ice cream to whomever tells me where that quote comes from)

Texas our taxes

Andrew at BOR has been doing a super job of covering the debate on HB 2 and HB 3, the bills in the Texas House to fix the broken school financing system in Texas. In writing about HB 3, Andrew points out that the Legislative Budget Board scored it, and it would actually only cut taxes for those Texans making more than $100,000 a year. For Texans making less than that (which includes me), we would actually see a tax increase. I know, it's hard to believe. Republicans in favor of raising taxes. Actually, raising taxes on poor and middle-class people doesn't seem to bother them, but "on principle" the top income tax rate shoudln't be higher than 33%. I don't know how anyone can honestly say that the GOP in Texas represents anyone but the richest people in the state. I haven't really written about it much, but the Democrats do have an alternative plan, and it has been getting a lot of praise from educators and administrators. Debate's going to continue, and I'll keep you posted.

Tuesday's with Tucker Carlson: To the brink of obscurity

I haven't done one of these in a while, and now seems like it would be appropriate. I see on TVNewser that Tucker's new show on MSNBC could still be month's away, which is sort of bumming me out. He's made a few appearances lately. His appearance on Real Time with Bill Maher was really good. He was on a panel with Tim Robbins and Rep. Stephanie Tubbs-Jones, and he made a better case. In fact, the two conservatives were more appealing than all the liberals on the show. That's not an easy thing to say for me. But Bill and his other guests seemed to really be reaching for something and just not finding it with their answers and his questions. Tucker was more libertarian and more consistent with his. For instance, Tubbs-Jones said she was OK with Arab men not shaking her hand because of tolerance to their culture, but she drew the line at "bee-keeper suits" and driving priveleges. Tucker was more consistent, drawing the line at intolerance of any kind. I suspect that it had more to do with the subjects being discussed than Tucker being the more sensible person. If Gannon/Guckert had been discussed that week, we probably would have seen him reaching for "Democrats being intolerant of gay people" or some such nonsense. Or if we had been talking about the bankruptcy bill and some of those provisions like they probably will this week. And all I really have to do is think back to the campaign and remember "Jacuzzi cases." That bullshit is enough to hate Bow Tie Boy for a lifetime. Regardless, i'm still going to DVR his show and make it a regular part of my viewing. Hardball has become too tedious for me and I hardly ever watch it anymore, so it will be good to have something besides Countdown to watch every night. And it will give me more regular material to discuss in these columns.

I finally get some sleep

I slept for a good 6 hours last night. That's the longest I've slept in a while. I've been too busy with too many things going on at different times of the day to be able to sleep all night or all day. So I've been getting it in increments of 2-4 hours every day. I finally sort of crashed last night. I was so tired at work that I literally started to doze off while typing and getting some strange results. I didn't think jkay fauyaoiyh; ihjahf were words until I saw them on my screen while I was typing up baseball linescores. So I went home and slept. Then I spent all day watching the 6 hours of TV that I recorded from last night. Hence the no blogging until now. But I'm totally rested and ready to go another 4 or 5 days without sleeping before crashing and getting up and going to Austin. Some programming notes: I'm working on my press ID badge Thursday. It's going to be too cute, withthe picture from the right. JJ's mom is a whiz with this sort of thing, so she's helping me out. I'm also getting one of the new G4 laptops for this gig. It's going to be super sweet, with a WiFi connection and killer laptop, I'm just going to have to liveblog. And Space Monkey's birthday is Thursday, so we'll be doing a pizza and beer movie night. That means no blogging then, unless I get drunk and use his computer. I'm also soliciting advice from readers. I've been made painfully aware that I do in fact need a laptop, so I'm wondering what you guys think of Dell's laptops. I'm on a shoestring budget, but I definitely need one, so tell me what you recommend.

Monday, March 07, 2005

I see I'm not the only one getting credentials

After his long, arduous journey, Garrett Graff is now a White House press reporter. The thing about that is that he is "editor" of FishbowlDC, a blog. Graff is the first blogger to be given a daily pass to attend the gaggle, marking a huge leap toward permanent credibility for blogging. It's going to be kind of hard to argue bloggers aren't journalists or that they don't deserve the same legal protections as other press when they are doing the exact same job of covering the White House. Raw Story has an interview with Graff about his impending admittance. And he couldn't resist, Jeff Gannon/James Guckert has to toss in his two cents. Editor & Publisher has this:

Gannon fails to mention that, whatever his political background, Graff is not currently employed by a partisan political organization (as Gannon was during his two-year stint at the White House), nor does Gannon differentiate "sexual history" from "selling sex."
That gets right to the heart of the matter of why Graff is OK but Gannon was not. Graff is an actual journalist, he spent time learning things like "don't plagiarize" and whatnot. Also, as the article points out, Graff is not currently working for a party or campaign, Guckert was working for GOPUSA. Bottom line, Graff is a good addition to the press corps, Gannon is a waste of space and air.

All kinds of drama

I don't get very much in the way of hate mail for writing this blog. Generally, somone just disagrees vehemently with something I said or the way I characterize an issue. I guess that is fine, if I have the right to say it you have the right to call me an idiot for saying it. It's all about freedom, baby. But what about getting threats for something I didn't write? I was up at the newsroom this morning doing a little more work on a special Web thing for the Balor Lady Bears. Since I was there and it is my job, I answered the phone. A very elderly gentleman called to complain about the fact that we published a story in the Sunday paper about the recent book that came out, The First Waco Horror: The Lynching of Jesse Washington and the Rise of the NAACP. We've talked about this book before. I think it's important to have this kind of thing out in the open. If people try to repress the past, I think all too often we are doomed to repeat our mistakes. I'm not quite sure what is getting people so angry. This story wasn't editorializing about the event or the book. I guess it is the fact that it is a black mark on Waco's past and people would rather be blissfully ignorant or things that went on in the history of the South rather than face up to it and apologize. You can't just forget and move on after something like this particular lynching takes place. Anyway, this person decided he would tell me that he and his friends were going to come down to the office and start some trouble and we should probably call the police to stop them. I took this to mean one of two things. One, this person was a complete psycho who didn't care what could possibly happen to him as long as he hurt somebody else to prove his point that what we published was indecent. Or two, this person was a coward who was just making idle threats to a stranger on the phone because he was unhappy and totally powerless to do anything about it. I tend to go with option b in this situation. If he was going to do anything, he probably wouldn't warn us. At least I remember that much from Psychology class (I took a semester). So, we kind of joked about it and I told J.B. he probably shouldn't go outside, he could just sleep in the interview room on the couch from now on and eat powdered donuts from the snack machine. He asked me to get a sniper to cover him while he went to his car. Laughs all around. Besides, this guy sounded old enough to have been at the lynching in 1916. I don't really feel that threatened by people who fall down without their walkers. Anyway, that's how my morning has been. Total acceptance as a credentialed journalist and total rejection by some old guy.

What's going on in Texas today?

I do love to read Lasso. Today Bill Bishop writes about the funk surrounding Rep. Solomon Ortiz and KBH. Apparently the two aren't getting along, which is to be expected since Ortiz is tight with the DeLay family and DeLay is tight with Speaker Tom Craddick and Gov. Rick Perry. If KBH is mulling a challenge to Perry, then it stands to reason that his friends are going to rally around him and do what they can to whittle support for her before the primaries even start.

Now I know I am a journalist

See, now I can prove it. If I wasn't a journalist, then how did I get on the day pass list for the Wonkette interview next Monday? That's right, boys and girls, I'm covering the event right here on Common Sense. Seeing as how I don't have a laptop, I've had to compromise a little to get one. The Brazos Living editor at the Trib will let me borrow one of the paper's if I write a feature on Wonkette with an interview. Piece of cake, I'll just spring for drinks on 6th Street and interview her there. It's ver hard to resist me when I'm being charming. So, things look all set. And I can say with all confidence that I am a journalist.

Is blogging journalism?

That is the question. Recently in one court case where Apple Inc. sued two bloggers for revealing product information, the judge ruled that bloggers aren't journalists and allowed the special protections thereof. That case is on appeal. AOL News has this story about people being fired from their jobs for blogging. So, with all this backlash, how can blogging be journalism? How can I sit here and tell you that I have no special protections but I'm still a journalist? That part is rather easy. Because I'm a journalist when I'm not blogging, too. But the fact that the medium I choose to publish in is the Internet should have no bearing on whether or not I get credentialed. What should go into consideration is do I update regularly (regularly enough) and do I have a way of being contacted so that I'm not totally anonymous, peddling gossip as fact and spreading lies. But that gets right to the heart of what it means to being a journalist. A journalist is someone who seeks the truth and then lets others know about it. The only difference between me and the staff writer at the Washington Post is that I have taken a different method. I believe that being subjective allows me to get at the truth. A typical objective news story will have one person say one thing and another person say another thing. The He said...She said school of journalism. Most people use this to remain objective so that they maintain credibility. I quote one person and tell you point blank he is lying and here is why. I source it and tell you in no uncertain terms that I am pissed off that that particular person is lying. I'm being subjective, I'm being opinionated and I'm more than likely being partisan. But I'm also telling you the truth. Hunter Thompson, in his famous obit of Richard Nixon, explained that

It was the built-in blind spots of the Objective rules and dogma that allowed Nixon to slither into the White House in the first place. He looked so good on paper that you could almost vote for him sight unseen. He seemed so all-American, so much like Horatio Alger, that he was able to slip through the cracks of Objective Journalism. You had to get Subjective to see Nixon clearly, and the shock of recognition was often painful.
That's what I and other bloggers do. We get subjective and we expose the lies, the horrible jobs that other so-called-journalists do and we publish on the greatest tool ever created to communicate with other people. My credibility comes, not from who signs my paycheck, but from my readers who appreciate that I seek the truth. Even if I fail, I think you guys would still be here because you at least appreciate that I want to find the truth and let you know; not construct some false sense of objectivity and leave you in the dark on what's really going on.

I shoulda DVRed 60 Minutes!

Last night's 60 Minutes featured a segment on the TRMPAC investigation. The Daily DeLay, as usual, has it all. Including this excerpt with Norm Ornstein from the American Enterprise Institute

Would this be considered a technicality – a way to revolve around a definition of administrative? "We're not talking about Mother Teresa here who gets caught for turning right on a red light in a state that doesn’t allow such a thing," says Ornstein. "The history of Tom DeLay in Congress is that he 's pushed every envelope. It is often the case that powerful people get their comeuppance because of something that a lot of people would see as a technicality." Case in point is what happened to another Texan, Democrat Jim Wright, who was forced to resign as Speaker of the House and from Congress in 1989. "When you look back at what brought down the most powerful member of Congress, Jim Wright, which was publishing a book, and having a bunch of copies go on bulk sales to people who then gave him royalties through some kind of subterranean process, wasn't even a violation of a law or a specific ethics rule," says Ornstein. "It was just the general sense that this is not how a member of Congress behaves. It was murkier than what we have now." Does he think that the Republicans are taking better steps to make sure that what happened to Wright won't happen here? "Do you think this is in the back of the Republicans' minds now that it happened to Jim Wright, 'Oh oh, we better take steps to make sure that doesn't happen here,'" asks Stahl. "It's not in the backs of their minds about Jim Wright, it's in the front of their minds," says Ornstein. "They see the parallel here and they want to be sure this doesn't happen."
Read the enire transcript. I'll find a video clip (if I can) but this is good television.

Regulating blogs?

I didn't really get into the big stink over comments made last week that blogs might be under the purview of the FEC. The idea that any journalist who mentions a specific campaign or gives to that campaign the same way a donor does is just stupid. Columnists mention campaign and politicians all the time, and that doesn't count as contributing, so why would blogging about them? That's why I really think you should read Mark Schmitt's take on the affair.

That's mostly right. Even without calling him a liar, it's enough to note that Smith, a Trent Lott appointee to the commission, opposes all campaign finance reform and the very existence of the agency that he chairs and that pays his salary. If he says that the FEC might have to regulate bloggers linking to campaign web sites, it's certainly not because he wants to or thinks the FEC should regulate such activity, or any other. It's because he wants to make the argument that the current trend in regulation might lead to that point. And he would find it useful in his own deregulatory campaign to get the internet activists worked up about a threat to them (us). He's not saying this because the FEC is actually about to enact this regulation. This is reminiscent of those "Congress is about to tax the internet" scares of a few years ago.
It goes on from there to describe the myriad ways that Smith might be trying to end regualtion of campaign finance or scare Congress into some kind of regulation of the Internet. It's a great piece.

Sunday, March 06, 2005

I HEART WONKETTE!

I just read a really cool Nellie Blog Q&A with Ana Marie Cox over at the Austin Chronicle. Some really good insights (and a hot photo. Grrrr, baby) into how she views blogging. For example.

AC: How about the recent scandal of Jeff Gannon, the supposed gay prostitute-cum-fake journalist. Do you think something good will come of that? A prostitution ring in the White House? AMC: Right, Karl Rove, political genius of the century, is going to be caught running a prostitution ring. I don't think so. Actually, I'm for Jeff Gannon. I think bloggers should be for having bloggers ask questions of the president. Isn't that what we are for? More legitimacy for weblogging?
She's right that we want more legitimacy for bloggers. She's wrong to suppose that Guckert helps us do that. For one thing, he wasn't a blogger (I'll go as far as saying he kinda is now). I'd also point out that he got paid to shill for GOPUSA and the Republicans, and the kind of jackass questions he asked don't make us look very good. Guckert takes any legitimacy away, so it was a good thing to investigate him and prove he was a phony. But we get to see how Wonkette thinks, if only briefly. That said, we may get a better chance as Evan Smith, editor at the Texas Monthly interviews her next Monday.
Texas Monthly Editor Evan Smith will conduct SXSW Interactive's keynote interview with Ana Marie Cox at 2pm, Monday, March 14, room 17AB of the Austin Convention Center. For more information, see www.sxsw.com.
I'll be there!

Saturday, March 05, 2005

It took me long enough

I wanted to calm down a little before I opened up my own can of whoop ass on Ann Coulter. I should probably start by saying that it all has to do with the senior senator from West Virginia, Robert Byrd. Among other things, Byrd is a former member of the KKK and was a fierce believer in segregation in his early career. He gave a speech Wednesday in which he said

But witness how men with motives and a majority can manipulate law to cruel and unjust ends. Historian Alan Bullock writes that Hitler’s dictatorship rested on the constitutional foundation of a single law, the Enabling Law. Hitler needed a two-thirds vote to pass that law, and he cajoled his opposition in the Reichstag to support it. Bullock writes that “Hitler was prepared to promise anything to get his bill through, with the appearances of legality preserved intact.” And he succeeded.
Hitler’s originality lay in his realization that effective revolutions, in modern conditions, are carried out with, and not against, the power of the State: the correct order of events was first to secure access to that power and then begin his revolution. Hitler never abandoned the cloak of legality; he recognized the enormous psychological value of having the law on his side. Instead, he turned the law inside out and made illegality legal.
What has been part of the controversy is that many conservatives, especially Joe Scarborough, who we will get to in a minute, say this is Byrd comparing Republicans to the Nazis. Reading the text of the whole speech makes it easy to understand that he was drawing an analogy to what could happen without the fillibuster and what kind of abuses of power are possible if the minority is kept from expressing itself. He was making an argument, in a speech on the Senate floor, to how important it is to respect the minority party's rights. But what has really gotten out of control is how people like Scarborough have tried to link it to Byrd's past. I'm not, for an instant, going to try to defend Byrd against involvement with the Klan. For that, he should be utterly ashamed. But I'll leave it to the voters of West Virginia to decide what to do with that information. Scarbrough has used this as the centerpiece in his argument, however, that Byrd being a Klansmen, would know what Nazis are like, thus implying his word isn't worth anything. He had, of all people, Ann Coulter on his show Thursday night debating Paul Waldman, editor-in-chief of The Gadflyer, talking about this. I'm going to let Scarborough off the hook for now, since it was his show so he can decide what topics to cover. I'll finish up with him at the end. Coulter, on the other hand, is not off the hook. First of all, to her everlasting credit as a total idiot and an awe-inspiringly bad writer, she continually referred to Byrd as "ex-Klanners", which isn't even a real word. But it goes on in this talk to include
COULTER: No, he compared Republicans to Hitler, saying that this change in rules, yes, it can be done legally, but Adolf Hitler operated legally also. (CROSSTALK COULTER: That‘s comparing a change in rules to Hitler. ... COULTER: Not even a congressman. This was a speech that was given yesterday about something that‘s very important that‘s going on right now. He is hailed as a profile in courage in “Vanity Fair” just a few years ago. If you want to give us something else to talk to, I‘d love to, but this is the most the Democratic Party is giving us. All we get are ex-Klanners and nuts to argue with now. And, frankly, it‘s not really helping either my career or Joe Scarborough‘s career. WALDMAN: All we get are ex-Klanners? All we get are ex-Klanners? What are you talking about? COULTER: And nuts, and nuts, I said.
The really funny thing is that Trent Lott was brought up because of his "off the cuff remark" about Sen. Strom Thurmond. Lott said his statement in this century, Byrd said many of the things that Scarborough quoted back in the '50s and '60s, and has since renounced his racist past, unlike Lott who continues to give speeches to white supremacists or Strom Thurmond. Scarborough quoted a 2002 article in which it seemed Byrd preferred a segregated army. That article, if he had mentioned which article and from whom, probably would be found to have quoted something from Byrd's record, but not a recent quote. Just more of those cute little tricks Republicans pull when they are blowing something way out of proportion or lying (Coulter would know about that). The fact that Ann Coulter was talking at all about being civil and not calling the other side names, was the biggest joke of the show, however. Let's take a stroll through some of the things Coulter has said about liberals and Democrats.
As a rule of thumb, Democrats opposed anything opposed by their cherished Soviet Union. The Soviet Union did not like the idea of a militarily strong America. Neither did the Democrats! ... Democrats always had mysterious objections and secret "better" ways, which they would never tell us. Then they would vote whichever way would best advance Communist interests. ... McCarthy's fundamental thesis was absolutely correct: The Democratic Party had fallen to the allures of totalitarianism. It was as if the Republicans had been caught in bed with Hitler. ... What we have now is the evidence from Stalin's agents in the United States -- evidence that was not released until 1995 and which Democrats sheltered, defended, ferociously attacked anyone who went after Soviet spies, agents of Stalin, a regime as evil as the Nazis. They were defended by the Democratic Party. It would be as if Republicans were caught in bed with Hitler. And thess old chestnuts Liberals become indignant when you question their patriotism, but simultaneously work overtime to give terrorists a cushion for the next attack and laugh at dumb Americans who love their country and hate the enemy. ... My only regret with Timothy McVeigh is he did not go to the New York Times Building. Oh, and do I really need to remind anyone of how she got booted from covering the Democratic National Convention this summer after her first day's column where she wrote "My pretty-girl allies stick out like a sore thumb amongst the corn-fed, no make-up, natural fiber, no-bra needing, sandal-wearing, hirsute, somewhat fragrant hippie-chick pie wagons they call "women" at the Democratic National Convention."
Yeah, Ann's a regular repository of "rhetorical civility." This, people is a farce. It is hypocritical in its very nature, because people like Coulter will call Democrats communist spies and hail McCarthyism, then be shocked and offended if someone mentions Hitler in a speech that also mentions Republicans. They are some very irrational people and I've spent entirely too much time this morning writing about them. So I'll end the way Joe Scarborough ended his segment, short and without allowing the other side a chance to respond.

The tactics have changed

But the policy hasn't shifted. From this morning's NY Times:

One proposal in circulation would allow individuals to invest in personal retirement accounts on top of their current payroll taxes, as an "add-on," rather than diverting payments from the existing system. Mr. Bush has been cool to the "add-on," approach, but he used that very phrase on Friday to describe his vision for the plan. Under his proposal, Mr. Bush said, income from a private account "goes to supplement the Social Security check that you're going to get from the federal government."

"See, personal accounts is an add-on to that which the government is going to pay you," he said. "It doesn't replace the Social Security system."

What he fails to mention there, is that for this type of add-on, he's going to add more than $5 trillion in new debt in the next 25 years and he's still going to cut you Social Security check by 50% or more. If that's an "add-on" it really sucks.

He's going to try and usurp our language because it has been more effective than his switching from "private accounts" to "personal accounts" to "personal investment accounts." He's going to talk about this being an "add-on account" to what you are already "guaranteed" from the government. But these account will be funded by taking money out of Social Security thus making it less sustainable, and the guarantee he's willing to give you is that the government check will be significantly less than what you are promised now.

Don't be fooled he hasn't been beaten yet. And he's going to keep trying until he realizes that he's definitely on the wrong side. As the Times story puts it, "A central question for Mr. Bush is whether he will consider a compromise with Democrats so he can claim victory on the biggest agenda item of his second term."

I'm staking my assertion on how easily he would take the political path of least resistance and accept some small measure of victory instead of total, utter failure on his first big initiative after re-election.

We don't have to step back on the add-on accounts, yet. By taking our language he has made it easier for us to frame the debate. Simply saying that "It's not much of an 'add-on account' if we're borrowing $5 trillion dollars and taking money out of Social Security" will be fine for right now. And this step he's taken will also make it easier to compromise with add-on accounts later. If we're already both using the phrase, it will be less-stressful to do it.

He may even be able to claim he got personal accounts for everybody. That's OK, because we will have won the bigger victory which is saving Social Security from being phased out.

The truth about Alan Greenspan

Over the past few days, a lot more Democrats have voiced their belief that Greenspan is a partisan conservative. They think that he has been more apt to make decisions based on fealty to the Republicans and not on the nonpartisan best interests of the country. In a lot of ways, that's totally true. He's been out there talking about the need to cut spending even though there is no way to cut enough discretionary spending to get rid of our annual deficits and and that recent economic history shows that slowly raising taxes on the more affluent and not the middle classes doesn't do significant harm to the economy. On the contrary, it's how we balanced the budget in the 90s, and as long as the middle and working classes have discretionary monies, they will spend them and keep us out of recession. That makes him a hack more willing to accept ideology over real world evidence. But I still think that Greenspan requires a secret decoder ring to understand. His public statements hae a tendency to favor the ruling party, but still leave options open for things like tax increases on the wealthy. Even the talk of a consumption tax to replace the income tax can have a double meaning. It puts the issue on the front page and gets people talking. It was brooched not that long ago by some Republicans, but didn't get the kin dof play that it really needs. This gets us talking and allows people to learn about how bad an idea it is to have regressive taxes. So, at the moment, I'm still willing to believe Alan Greenspan is sane and hasn't gone completely senile. He is the consumate beauracrat, and it would only make the kind of practical sense that he is known for to do what he can to keep the administration from getting rid of him the same way they canned his long-time friend Paul O'Neill. He's definitely a conservative, but he's not drinking the kool-aid.

Friday, March 04, 2005

I get a press release

With all the press releases and stuff, you'd think I was a journalist or something (Oh wait...). From Congressman Chet Edwards' office, via e-mail

Edwards Secures $30 Million For District 17 Road Projects in Transportation Reauthorization Bill

( WASHINGTON , DC ) - U.S. Representative Chet Edwards announced that legislation that would provide $284 billion in federal highway, transit and road safety projects through 2009 was overwhelmingly approved by the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee Wednesday. The bill contains $30 million added by Edwards for highway and road improvements in District 17.

"I appreciate Transportation Committee ranking member Jim Oberstar supporting me in my requests for our district transportation projects," said Edwards. "These transportation projects are crucial for the safety of our citizens, continued economic growth, and easing congestion" said Edwards, a member of the House Appropriations Committee. "Transportation projects create jobs today through construction and they create jobs tomorrow because transportation infrastructure attracts new business to the region."

"I have fought and will continue to fight to ensure funds are made available for these important projects in District 17," said Edwards. "Better highways and roadways not only connect us safely to the places we need to go, they also contribute to an overall improvement in the quality of our lives."

The bill will go to the House floor next week for passage before heading to the Senate. The annual 2006 Transportation bill, a separate measure, is scheduled to pass later this year.

Sounds good to me; of course, I live in District 17 and I'm tired of shitty roads full of potholes.

It's been a long day

Between meetings, more meetings and extra work, I haven't had much time to blog today. There are a couple of things I want to get to tonight, so keep looking for them. I also planned to spend part of my day off tomorrow in Austin, just relaxing and maybe going to Joe's Crab Shack. Unfortunately, work precludes me from doing that. I've got a special project I need to finish this weekend for sports, so not a lot of free time to drive 100 miles for dinner.

The New President of the United States?

From the Drudge Report, I learn that there is a new show on ABC called Commander-in-Chief with Geena Davis as the first female president. I'll have to check it out, hopefully it will be as well-written as The West Wing is (though the first three seasons with Aaron Sorkin writing are the best television ever). Drudge has that they are holding open calls for different positions, I could so be the Press Secretary. If any of you, my many minions, would be sl inclined, start a mass e-mailing to ABC that you want me on the show as the Press Secretary. If you are not a minion, rest assured I do have some acting experience and I'm very egotistical so I'm not going to crap out when the cameras start rolling. Besides, look at that picture over on the right. I was born to be President Geena Davis' press secretary! Let's get those e-mails started, eh.

Texas Dems got themselves a plan

In my very own Waco Trib, my good friend Dan Genz writes about Rep. Jim Dunnam and the Dems' plan to fund schools in Texas.

The effort promises $2 billion on top of the Republican-backed plan that offers $3 billion in new money for public schools. It won tentative support from local school leaders who believe the system needs more money and view the Republican plan as "chaos" and "a disaster."
The sad thing is that this problem has been around for years and people are only just now realizing that Republicans are horrible with money. They're more worried about scores on standardized tests than making sure kids have adequate funding in the first place. I don't want to get into a lengthy post on how stupid I think standardized tests are (I should know, I had to take them every year since the 3rd grade when Bush became governor), but I do want to stress that it is important to give schools all the money they require. Try spending more to get qualified teachers who feel good about getting up and going to work than short-changing their pension plans and denying them funding to even buy the textbooks needed to teach to your stupid tests.
Many educators deride Grusendorf's plan as benefiting property-rich districts and providing just enough money to pay for the new programs it creates.

Four area superintendents greeted the Democratic alternative with more optimism.

"If we could have an additional $5 billion that is actually new money, that would be a very good start," said Jerry Maze, superintendent of the Hillsboro Independent School District.

Yeah, that says it all right there. Give them what they ask for and let teachers do the teaching, not the state legislature.

Sure he's not scared

The NY Times this morning has an interesting article about Bush acknowledging that private accounts are an uphill battle, but not dead in the water. But I think he's betrayed himself with the way his guys have handled Frist and Grassley. Grassley in particular, because he definitely said somethig taht would have brought Democrats to the table at least, but he was totally rebuked by the administrationBut later Thursday, Mr. Grassley issued a statement suggesting he was not breaking ranks with the administration, declaring, "Personal accounts are still on the table along with all the other ideas to strengthen Social Security."And that was just for talking about improving the fiscal health of Social Security and admitting private accounts don't do anything to help. This is the chink in the armor people. These kinds of actions are those of desperate people. I know, look at pissed I got at Joe Lieberman just for talking to another senator. They really want to win but the wind is against them and there is nothing they can do about it. I don't think it really matters how much money they spend. You can fool some of the people some of the time, but you can't fool all of the people all of the time. They've been trying to fool all of the people and it looks like it may have come back to bite them. I also want to point out this Post editorial. These guys have consistently referred to private accounts as a good thing, and it just ticks me off. Today's editorial uses the phrase "sweetener to help the medicine of benefit cuts go down." For the love of... and I don't even know where they get the idea that private accounts will happen at all, let alone without huge cuts in benefits. Are we even talking about the same Social Security debate?

Thursday, March 03, 2005

We partyin' tonight

The Baylor Lady Bears just won the Big 12 Conference championship outright by beating Texas Tech 79-69 in Waco. The Lady Bears went undefeated at home and end the season at 24-3, 14-2 in conference. And we are going to party like it is 1899 (this is a Baptist town, after all). So there will be lots of drinking and waking up tomorrow full of regret. How sad. But the drinking and doing things to regret in the morning part sounds fun.

Just how liberal is CNN?

That being a stupid-ass question, I hope you didn't answer "too damn liberal." Cause you know then you look like a fool. I've been watching the "Inside the Blogs" segment on Inside Politics with Judy Woodruff lately (just another show I DVR) since it started. Someone at American Street has actually sent their interns to work reading the transcripts of IP to find that the segment mentions 59 conservative blogs to 29 liberal blogs. Since I think that there are a heck of a lot mroe liberal blogs out there, why would this be? Especially since some of the most popular blogs are indeed liberal. I chalk it up to them being complete idiots. For instance, on March 1st they classified Andrew Sullivan as a centrist, they routinely misidentify certain blogs and the fact that the segment is about two chicks sitting at computers reading blogs to find out what the hell is going on in the world for CNN's studio cameras live shows just how they don't "get it." It's sad that these people are reading Andrew Sullivan and Powerline Blog instead of actual news blogs like Political State Report.

"Still as uninformed as ever"

Just now on Countdown with Keith Olbermann, we learned about "Jeff Gannon", not his real name, and his daily briefing question. On his Web site, Gannon/Guckert says he is "on hiatus" from the Press Briefing Room, but he still wants to ask questions. Sidestepping for a moment the fact that he probably isn't getting anywhere near the White House ever again and this is just one more lie, take a gander at his recent question:

March 3, 2005 Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan told members of Congress on Wednesday that the U.S. economy is growing at a "reasonably good pace" and recommended that budget deficits be fixed through spending cuts instead of tax increases. Does the White House consider this an endorsement of its fiscal policies as opposed to Democrats who still want to roll back the Bush tax cuts?
Now, what Greenspan actually said was
"Addressing the government's own imbalances will require scrutiny of both spending and taxes. However, tax increases of sufficient dimension to deal with our looming fiscal problems arguably pose significant risks to economic growth and the revenue base," he said.

While higher taxes boost government revenues, they also deplete consumer coffers, dampening economic growth and spending — strains the economy can ill afford as the baby boom generation retires and the proportion of workers shrinks, he said.

Greenspan has long favored spending cuts over tax hikes.

Greenspan requires a little decoding, so let's look at some numbers. The deep budget cuts that Bush proposes in his FY 2006 Budget equal about $20 billion dollars. The expected budget deficit for 2006 as projected by the CBO is $295 billion. And that only includes outlays for appropriations already enacted and continued spending at the current levels, not any new monies for Iraq and Afghanistan.

What this means is that Greenspan wants spending cuts, but tax increases are on the table. By mentioning a national consumer tax, he leaves more room for something as simple as rolling back part of the Bush tax cuts.

I think he also would like to see a new formula for defining the benefit under Social Security, something he might see a spending cut from the mandatory side of the budget. But he has laid out tax increases as being part of the solution possibly.

How we got from Guckert to Greenspan, I'll never totally understand, but there it is.

If only we lived in TV Land

According to Zogby, Jimmy Smits led Alan Alda in the poll as to who viewers of The West Wing think should be the next president.

Smits' character leads Alda's character 44 percent to 28 percent among "West Wing" viewers contacted by computer for the interactive poll.

Vinick, it seems, has a gender problem.

"While he and Santos are tied among men, each getting 35 percent of the vote, Santos holds a commanding lead among women, where he outpolls Vinick 53 percent to 22 percent," Zogby said.

I'm actually a rabid West Wing fan, and I'm so rooting for Smit's character. His character, Matt Santos, has a presidential campaign being run by the character of Josh Lyman (Brad Whitford). Since Sam Seaborne (Rob Lowe) left after Bartlet's re-election. Last night's preview of next week's show eluded to a sex scandal for the Santos campaign, so I'm glad have that suckered DVRed.

Hell has finally frozen over

That is a big extreme, but the Dallas Morning News and I finally agree on something! In this morning's story on Social Security:

In the meantime, Republican congressional leaders say they cannot guarantee a vote on Social Security legislation this year – a potentially fatal delay for Mr. Bush's top domestic priority. "The prospects are somewhere between poor and miserable," said analyst Stuart Rothenberg, who publishes a Washington-based political report.

Overhauling the 70-year-old Social Security system will only get harder as the calendar inches closer to the 2006 mid-term elections, congressional officials say.

And the longer the debate takes, the closer Mr. Bush is to becoming a lame duck.

Can I call them or can I call them. Actually, I'm worried that it means I'm wrong and that DMN is agreeing with me because they're wrong, too. Stranger things have happened (like me and Zogby making the same Electoral College Prediction).

Hat tip to Ed Kilgore guest blogging at TPM.

New poll out

This is an encouraging headline: New Poll Finds Bush Priorities Are Out of Step With Americans. That's in today's NY Times. So is this.

On Social Security, 51 percent said permitting individuals to invest part of their Social Security taxes in private accounts, the centerpiece of Mr. Bush's plan, was a bad idea, even as a majority said they agreed with Mr. Bush that the program would become insolvent near the middle of the century if nothing was done. The number who thought private accounts were a bad idea jumped to 69 percent if respondents were told that the private accounts would result in a reduction in guaranteed benefits. And 45 percent said Mr. Bush's private account plan would actually weaken the economic underpinnings of the nation's retirement system.
A majority thinks it's a bad idea, even if you don't tell them about reduced benefits and borrowing $4.5 trillion dollars the first 20 years. We haven't won, yet. We still need to hold the line. With a littl luck, we might be able to talk them out of private accounts all together. There's movement on the Republicans' part, and I think it's possible. They won't want to just drop the subject if they can't get what they want, Bush will compromise to make it appear as though he is actually doing something. If we give him the political cover to say that he came to the table and gave up on private accounts to make sure that Social Security was solvent, he'll jump at it with these kind of poll numbers. Still, I remain cautiously optimistic. He could just wait until after the midterms to bring it up again. But he won't want to because by then people will be talking about the next president and his ability to wrangle his own party will be waning. He will be a lame duck in every sense of the words. No, he sees this as the time to move. He's got his "mandate" now, just after his re-election. The longer this drags out and the worse the polls get for him, the more eager he becomes to take a deal. We just have to hold the line.

Tom DeLay in trouble?... Nah

The Washington Post has a story this morning about the eroding support in DeLay's base.

But DeLay now has to worry about "Texas 22," the congressional district he has represented for the past 21 years in the U.S. House. Ironically, the Texas redistricting plan he engineered over strong Democratic objections drained some vital Republican support and could make it tougher for him to win reelection. In his old district, DeLay took 60 percent of the vote in 2000 and 63 percent in 2002.

In 2003, at DeLay's behest, the Texas legislature redrew the state's congressional lines without waiting for the next census (in 2010), the customary occasion for redistricting. With the new districts, which still face court challenges, Texas elected five additional Republicans to the U.S. House last November, accounting for all of the party's net gain.

DeLay's new district wound up several percentage points less Republican than his previous one, and it has a substantial and growing Asian American population.

Why could that be a problem?

DeLay garnered 55 percent of the vote in the November election against a relatively unknown Democrat, an unusually modest showing for a veteran House member who is one of the most powerful politicians in Washington. Some Republican officials and DeLay supporters worry that with President Bush absent from the top of the ticket next year, liberal interest groups might target the conservative majority leader and spend millions of dollars on campaign ads to try to defeat him.
No, we Democrats would never do that! Note to self...

If anything, this should give us some impetus to really start hitting DeLay hard.

Ups and downs in Joementum

Greg Wythe and I have our share of differences, but I respect him because he's my elder. Just kidding, but he has done a lot for the party. It is more him than anyone else that got me excited about Chris Bell and his potential (very, very high potential) run for governor. But, like I said, we have differences. One of them is that he is a staunch supporter of Joe Lieberman. "Marshall Wittman is making it tough for me to maintain my crown as "Biggest Blog Defender of All Things Joe." Nevertheless, it's a competition I relish. Bring da moose on!" He goes on to quote the Bull Moose:

The fight against social security privatization is important but not vital to the future of the Democratic Party. While the President may get something, he most probably will not win passage of his most ambitious privatization scheme. Meanwhile, Democrats must still address the problems in their own house. And those weaknesses involve being perceived as weak on values and national security. No member of the party can better assist the party in addressing these weaknesses than Joe Lieberman. No, the Moose is not suggesting that he run again for President. Rather, he can provide valuable counsel to the party on how to better connect with those folks who have become estranged from the party in the past years.

If donkeys believe that defense of the New Deal, however noble and necessary, is their ticket back to power, then they will be wandering in the wilderness longer than the Lord's Chosen People.

My argument comes from the fact that I'm tired of having a Democrat criticize us and help the other side. In the Social Security debate, I would rather bargain from a position of strength, if it comes to bargaining, then of desperation because a Democrat would rather vote with the Republicans to gut our party's crowning achievement of the New Deal than vote with us.

Besides, I think Social Security is vital to the party. If we can't all agree that taking assured poverty out of retirement was one of the greatest accomplishments of the Democrats; if we can't all agree that FDR did something great and remarkable with his New Deal and defend it against the attacks from the likes of USA Next and Tom DeLay, we might as well pack it up and vote Green. If we can't all stand for this, then we fall down with no reason to get up except to grab little bits of power that the Republicans don't want anymore. "The line must be drawn here! This far, no farther!" Points to anyone who knows who I just quoted and from where.

There's no personal animus against Joe. It may seem that way, but I'm sure he's a likable enough guy. And I'm sure he really cares about the party. But the way he goes about it, I think, does more harm than good. I think it is time for him to go, seniority be damned. I don't even care if we lose his seat, I think it won't really matter that much for the time being. But getting him out does matter.

Separation of Church and State: Vol. II

We get into this an awful lot around here. Is there an actual separation between the two, and does that mean we have to be free from all religion or just we can't establish one? I've always taken the view that we should have a basic litmus test for this sort of thing. If this is really about promoting a moral and ethical foundation instead of promoting religion, then would the state allow me to raise money and put up a giant, golden statue of the Buddha next to the Ten Commandments. But Justice Scalia takes a differing view:

Scalia, who has little patience with church-state separation concepts, was expected to be a very active participant in the oral arguments, and he was. But, early in the argument, he essentially took himself out of the combat by stating his position with utmost clarity. He said that the Ten Commandments have long been accepted by the Nation’s majority as “a symbol of the fact that government derives its authority from God,…The minority should be tolerant of the majority expressing its belief that this government comes from God.”
I'm not one to quibble with a Supreme Court Justice, but I think the entire purpose of the freedom of religion mentioned in the 1st Amendment is just so that the minority isn't tyrannized by the majority and its religious beliefs. The majority is free to practice (by the way, the majority is not protestant. Roman Cathoics make up a far larger part of the population than any other denomination, about 60 million of us in the US alone) but not free to set up a state-supported religion that the minority must recognize. I'd probably go into an argument about how the Founders would argue that ultimate authority in a democracy comes from laws, not God. Like in the Declaration, when Jefferson writes about inalienable rights, by definition those are rights that not even God can take away, thus limiting God's power and giving it to the rule of law. But it's late and we've got until June for them to hand down their decision. Plenty of time to go over this.

Wednesday, March 02, 2005

It sounds like a global diet pill pyramid scheme

Continuing coverage of the TRMPAC trial at In the Pink.

• 4:00. I’m sitting in a courtroom, brow furrowed, feverishly jotting down notes in a reporter pad, trying to crack this bad boy wide open. Look at me! I’m Nancy Drew! • 4:03. Happy hour started, like, three minutes ago. • 4:05. Defense questions Anderson about any inconsistencies between the Texas Election Commission report and IRS Form 990. Anderson tries to compare the “hard” versus “soft” money distinction with “cash” versus “accrual” based accounting – different means to the same end, or something. But then Anderson goes NUTSO. Anderson: “This looks like a bunch of hyperventilating attorneys going ‘Gotcha’ … This is the biggest to-do about nothing that I’ve seen in a long time.” I agree with you there. But, seriously, if we didn’t make to-do’s about nothing, then there wouldn’t be anything to blog about.
I'll drink to that. This is turning in one of those "media circuses" that the media is always berating (cognitive dissonance), or at least it should be. I'm wondering why CNN is bothering with the Michael Jackson trial at all. This is the story people!

A quick note

I've been invited to write for Political State Report, so starting this week, I'm going to be putting most of hte stuff about Texas Politics that I run across up there. It will only be news I come across, not links to other bloggers, thoug I will from time to time. So I will probably have to put a link over on the right. Check it out.

Chris Bell for Governor

I'm pretty excited because Chirs Bell is speaking to Democracy for Texas, the Texas branch of Democracy for America right now. Byron is liveblogging it and soon my post will pop up with my reaction after reading the speech. I'm not totally set on Bell. He could say something in the next 2 years that totally makes me not vote for him, but for now I am enthralled by his devotion to ethics and his desire to open up the system for everybody. So, I'm supporting him.

Tuesday, March 01, 2005

TRMPAC case solved!

Or at least whether it would be worth taking a day off to go see it. In the Pink finds that the trial is so boring that she's trying to escape from the ladies' room on the 4th floor of the courthouse. Suffice it to say, I don't think I'm going to give up part of my paycheck for that. And Craddick isn't even testifying! He "might have" accidentally on-purpose shredded documents that proved he took corporate funding for his and other Republicans' campaigns in flagrant violation of the Texas constitution. Oops. Last week, I was hoping we might uncover something with this trial, but it is turning out to be a total gip. Even the Texas media aren't really that interested. Vince knows where you can get total coverage, though.

Rethinking the plan

The latest polls show at least a majority of Americans agree that we don't need to privatize Social Security, and Gallup has 75% trust Democrats to fix Social Security, not Republicans. That's some really good news for us. But this piece from Mark Schmit in the Decembrist has me thinking about how do we actually do it. He argues that raising the payroll tax cap is a bad idea, if not just because of the political retribution then because it is bad policy. When Bush put it on the table, I said

Unless this is some Rovian-reverse-psychology thing, he should really learn to not talk. Everytime Bush says something, he either pisses off Democrats or confuses Republicans. Nothing good ever comes from him opening his mouth.
because I thought it probably was some Rovian-type thing to trcik Democrats. Mark writes today
First, this is an obvious political trap. Bush all but gave it away when he said he was open to raising the cap in Portsmouth, NH on February 15: "It's important to keep the options on the table. And it's important for me to say to the members of Congress, if you've got a good idea, bring it forward; there will be no political retribution." That's Lucy talking to Charlie Brown: Don't worry Chuck, I won't pull the football away at the last minute. Go ahead and kick it. Of course there would be retribution. That's exactly how they were hoping to get out of this trap, by turning the tables. The minute a Democrat stepped up to propose raising the payroll tax cap, USA-Next or Club For Growth or some other group that the poor helpless White House cannot possibly control would be on TV in his district with ads denouncing him as a tax raiser, complete with a tearful testimonial from some ordinary looking person, a single parent with three kids who would pay a higher tax. And no one is exempt -- Senator Lieberman, this means you, you never-met-a-tax-you-didn't-raise big government liberal. Unfortunately, the White House didn't send out the memo, because all their allies who were supposed to shoot at this hypothetical Democrat instead panicked and fired at the White House.
Uncanny, isn't it? Mark also points out that while raising the cap would make it more progressive, the payroll tax is still regressive as a whole, so it would just be raising a regressive tax on people who weren't really benefitting from those big Bush tax cuts. I would just point out to him that raising the cap so that it covers 90% of incomes instead of the 85% it does now would be balancing out what was assumed to be the norm when Greenspan did his thing in 1983. They assumed a great many things back then, not all of them correct, and the fact that less money is coming in than was expected is how we got into shortfall territory in the first place. But I'm sympathetic to Mark's cause. Being a progressive, liberal guy, I don't have a problem with a progressive tax on very rich white old men. Perhaps some sort tax on their estates when they die. We could call it the "estate tax" and that money could possibly go to shoring up the Trust Fund and, if there is anything left over since it's only going to affect about 4,500 families, we might even pay down some of our debt. Lots of thing are "on the table" so we'll see how that one goes over before we allow private accounts.

Chris Bell weighs in

In a follow-up to their earlier story, Raw Story has comments from former Congressman Chris Bell who was forced out of the House because of re-redistricting by Tom DeLay. He also filed ethics complaints against the Majority Leader this November after the elections which resulted in two rebukes to DeLay for his ethics violations. Bell says “I can’t say I’m terribly surprised.” He continues to call for an investigation into DeLay's activities.

“Such an investigation would reveal other matters that probably had not come to light such as this,” Bell said. “My feeling for quite some time has been that Tom DeLay is individual who is willing to thumb his nose at rules and the law to get what he wants. This is just another example of that kind of conduct.”
Well, if he has one thing going for him in the gubernatorial race, he is definitely against unethical behavior.

Monday, February 28, 2005

Why I need to quit watching CNN

Several things happened on Inside Politics, not the least of which was an interview with Gov. Warner of Virginia, a possible contender in 2008. But that's not what irked me. No, it's just plain stupidity that's angered me today. Toward the end of show, Judy brought on Bob "Douchebag of Freedom" Novak himself to talk about the Democrats. Here's what he had to say.

WOODRUFF: ... you could say. All right. Moving over to the Democrats, Howard Dean, you've been doing some reporting on what's he up to. NOVAK: Since he was elected Democratic national chairman, he has been -- they've been keeping him out of the national spotlight. No major television interviews on national networks are scheduled for the next couple weeks, I'm told, and maybe the reason is that they've got to really get Howard under control. He spoke at Cornell University last week, and the only paper that covered this was "The Cornell Daily" student paper, and he said, yes, Social Security has a big problem. Over the years it's going to lose about 80 percent of the benefits. That, Judy, is not the Democratic line. The Democratic line is there is no problem. So Howard Dean says what he thinks is the truth. Often it is the truth. He's going to be a lot of fun as national chairman.
You see, for some people, like Novak, reality isn't enough of a thrill for them, so they construct their own by citing controversy where there is none. For instance, the Democratic line is that there is no crisis, not that there is no problem. That's a big difference Bob. Anyone can see where the numbers point, there is going to be a shortfall of some kind. But Democrats don't see a crisis, and we definitely don't think we should gut Social Security and make the shortfall even worse for private accounts. Second, according to the Cornell Daily Sun (he can't even get the name of the paper he's misquoting right) Howard Dean actually said
Dean pointed out that, while he would not endorse this, if Social Security were left alone for 30 years, its benefits would be reduced to 80 percent of what it is now. He acknowledged that while there were indeed problems with the program, turning to Wall Street was not the answer.
That's reduced to, not by, Bob. It's hacks like Novak, peddling falsehood and misrepresentation as truth, and going on national television to report without the most basic of fact-checking (I did a simple Google search) who give journalists a bad name.

Breaking news... kinda

Raw Story breaks the story that a group surreptitiously (now that's an adverb baby) promoting Social Security phase-out paid for two junkets for Majority Leader Tom DeLay. Since at the time this took place, the group in question, the National Center for Public Policy Research, was a lobbying group, DeLay may have stepped over the bounds of House ethics rules and maybe even the law. I've mentioned this group before, in my research on pro-phase out groups. They're of the "there is no trust fund and we have $25 trillion debt in the system in 50 years" stripes. The NCPPR spent $64,064 dollars for one junket in 1997 to Moscow and St. Petersburg, and more than $70,000 for a trip to London for him and his wife, where he even played golf in Scotland. I'm not arguing against Congressional junkets here, but they shouldn't be paid for by lobbyists who are trying to get Congressmen to vote the way they want them to. That's called bribery and it's wrong. NCPPR also has launched a number of scare tactics to get people to send them money and keep the fact that

“Inside your sealed envelope is information regarding the potential collapse of the Social Security system – and how it can endanger you and the entire United States senior citizen population,” NCPPR president Amy Ridenour writes in one such letter obtained by RAW STORY. “It is also critical that you share this pertinent information ONLY [sic] with other trustworthy individuals.”
Yeah, really creepy stuff. But I've almost come to expect it from right-wing think tanks. So, we won't see DeLay in front of the ethics committee, though, too many of his friends are now running that show. The Republicans have done a pretty effective job of subverting any and all attempts at being ethical and within the boundary of the law in order to protect sleaze like Tom DeLay. Go Red State Values!

Presidential powers unlimited

That would be a name for a great game show. You go around the world doing whatever you damn well please, and if anyone gives you any guff, you slap them with a sticker that says "Enemy Combatant." But that is only real in the fantasy world of television. US District Judge Henry F. Floyd, in a follow-up to Rumsfeld v Padilla and Hamdi v Rumsfeld, ruled that either the US has to let Jose Padilla go or charge him with a crime. His ruling states explicitly that the power to suspend the writ of habeus corpus lies soley with the Legislative branch, and any extension of the Executive's powers flows from the Legislative. In other words, in order to have the powers Bush claims to declare people "enemy combatants" and detain them without trial indefinitely, Congress would have declare so. That's a pretty reasonable ruling. Judge Floyd did allow for the government to re-arrest him as a material witness or by charging him with a crime. But I don't think that's going to happen. The intelligence used to apprehend Padilla would be over 33 months old now, I doubt it is going to negatively affect our national security. But they don't want to do that, they would rather just hold US citizens in jail for no reason. If I'm wrong, let the government prove it by charging Padilla with the crime they accuse him of.

Damnit Joe, that's the last straw

I think I've finally tired of Joementum and his constant "deal-making" and screwing us over. I'm not the only one, either. In what looked to be a DOA phase-out scheme, Joe will breathe new life into it by offering to make a deal with Lindsey Graham. That means privatization is still on the board and if any Democrats follow Lieberman, we'll be totally screwed. The only thing we had going for us, being the minority party and all, was that we had party unity on our side. We could have fillibustered if we had to, and we had enough people to keep the Republicans from ending it. But, Lieberman, acting on his own, will find a way to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory by bucking his party to work some deal we don't need with the GOP. I know there are some Joe supporters out there, I want to know how you can possibly suffer through this silently? I don't care if his record more liberal or moderate or whatever, than people give him credit for. He's fucking us over for God knows what reason. We were winning the fight to save Social Security, and Joe has changed the dynamic in the Republicans favor. I'm all about having a big tent and having pro-life Democrats and fiscal conservatives in the party. But I seriously think it's time that we dound a primary challenger to oust Lieberman. The way I see it, the worst that happens is we lose his seat and end up with someone who would vote Social Security phase-out. Only that person wouldn't be sitting and smiling in Democratic caucus meetings.

Sunday, February 27, 2005

Playing devil's advocate

I'm going to go so far as to agree with everything Eileen says at In the Pink, except that her implication that the Texas Monthly isn't very good. I have to say, even though I have found conservative bias (gasp. Really?) withing its pages, I still think of it as the magazine of Texas. It is Newsweek, The New Yorker and Us Weekly all rolled into one, and it's all about my favorite state: Texas. Other than that little tidbit, I do think Paul Burka doesn't know what the hell he's talking about when it comes to blogs and blogging (not to mention bloggers). We'll have to storm the gates of the Monthly and drag him out and throw him in a pond. if he floats, he's a witch. Burn the witch! Or we could just call and try to get something written there that might include our frame of reference. You know, whichever. While we're at it, let's broaden the discussion to include your favorite idiot and mine, Howard Kurtz. He made quite a little remark today on Reliable Sources:

KURTZ: Let me turn back to your article, Henry Allen. You quoted some political descriptions from Thompson's book on the '72 campaign. "Being around Edmund Muskie," quote, "was something like being locked in a rolling box car with a vicious 200-pound water rat." Richard Nixon, quote, "speaks to the werewolf in us." And Hubert Humphrey, "there is no way to grasp what a shallow, contemptible and hopelessly dishonest old hack Hubert Humphrey is until you've followed him around for a while." Now, if he were writing that today, wouldn't all the bloggers be on him for bias and exaggeration and that sort of thing?
Well, number one he continued to write things like that and bloggers linked to it in praise. Number two, if he were his young self today, he would be a blogger. After all, he did only post online in his final years. Blogging is the extension of Gonzo journalism as interpreted by geeks like me who fell in love with his work. But Howie's too stupid to figure out what "New Journalism" is. We want to seek the truth. But Kurtz, Kurtz is stuck having a program on a 24-hour news network, where he talks about "hyping the Oscars" for the first 13 minutes of his show! Kurtz will never get it. He wasn't meant to find the truth, he was meant to be our jester. He's something to ridicule, not emulate. Thompson, he was a truth-seeker, doing everything and anything to find the heart of a story, which meant finding the heart of his own existence. Kurtz is incapable of that. We don't have to be.

Just a reminder

And for all you new people. I only have one rule... know what the hell you are fighting over. Today, we got even more confirmation what the battle with Republicans over Social Security is about from Dick Armey.

TYLER – Former U.S. House Majority Leader Dick Armey said Friday that Social Security should be phased out rather than saved. "I think if you leave people free to choose, it will be phased out by competition," the former Republican congressman from Lewisville told reporters before sharing a President's Day Dinner with the Smith County Republican Club.
That's from the Longview News-Journal. They don't want to "save" Social Security, they are quite happy to have things they were in the 1930s. I can't say anything more than, don't let them. Via Byron.

Ah, damnit

I guess because this is a newspaper we have to watch the Academy Awards, but do we need to listen too? It's not important and I've got too many other things on my mind to listen to some airhead accept an award for a piece of shit movie. Does the torture never end?

What Southern strategy?

Though Howard Dean was elected chairman, and he plans to campaign in all 50 states, we Democrats still haven't quite figured out how in the hell we are going to win the electoral college in 2008. A great number of states are awash in red and we have no idea how we are going to turn them blue. Or do we? From Hullabaloo:

SouthNow: What’s your strategy for Southern progress? Mudcat: We need to quit all this tap dancin’ around the truth....We need to stop tap dancin’ around the issues of guns, gays and God....We’ve lost the white male. We need to get ‘em back. We need to get through the cultural wall. It’s a wall of straw. Inside every rural Republican is a Democrat trying to get out. Saunders, who has worked on the campaigns of Mark Warner, John Edwards, and Bob Graham, thinks that if Democrats ease up on the culture stuff they can win in the South: "We’ve got an affection for big guns and fast cars. It’s a macho thing. I’ve not seen any attempt by the Democrats to get into that culture."
As a soutehrn white male I can tell you its actually a stupidity thing, but that's another post. Mudcat seems to think that if we were to not be so stiff on supporting gay marriage or if we laid off the gun control schtick we might win a few red states in the south. Bullshit. Southern white males are voting for exactly who they want to vote for: Republicans. I'm OK with that, this being a democracy and all. It's time some of us woke and realized that a lot of people don't want what we want. They want extreme right-wing Republicans to represent them. Mudcat may see a Democrat waiting to get out, but some have Nazis inside waiting to get out. We need to recognize this. Do we totally write off the south? Not really. We can build up party operations in red states, especially the southwest and west, and we can work to change the way people think and vote. But that could take a generation or more; that won't help us in 4 years. So we have got to wake up and realize Republicans are not going to vote for us, no matter how moderate or centrist we are. Look around and you won't see many moderate Republicans. That's because these people don't want moderates, they want extremists. Does that mean we have to go full-tilt left to fight them? No. It means we go with whatever way is the right way, not whatever way might get us more votes. Process matters and keeping our integrity can be just as important as winning.

Self-referential congratulations

This is one of those times you are just going to have to take my word for it, but I'm actually well-liked in my newsroom. That's quite an accomplishment for someone as far down the totem pole as I am, being a lowly clerk on the sports desk and all. But, being well-liked, I get to talk to people and suggest things, like suggesting to my editor Carlos Sanchez that we should have something about the new book from Texas Monthly reporter Patricia Bernstein titled The First Waco Horror: The Lynching of Jesse Washington and the Rise of the NAACP. In fact, I'm the one who received the phone call at 12:30 in the morning from the irate woman who thought we should speak out against Ted Koppel bringing up such sordid business. She was nice enough, but I think she was a closet racist because she kept referring to "them" which I can only guess means black people. And I don't tolerate racism, which is why I'm telling you about it. Anyway, I connected the Nightline segment with the book after reading the Chronicle review through Kuff last week, and I thought maybe the Waco paper should probably mention it, so I collected some information and emailed it to him. And voila, today he has a column. Now, he does a much better job of explaining the book and its relevance than I could, so I'll just ask you to click over to it. This post is more of an ego boost and a pat on the back for the little people like me who answer the phones in the middle of the night and talk to loony women who are worried about race-relations without calling them racist idiots, which is the initial inclination. No, this is purely and simply about me and how influential I am, an not at all about the dark history that America suffered through when people might have thought it impolite to bring up how horribly a whole group of people were treated. Lest "they" get the idea nothing had changed after Emancipation, or something.

Friday, February 25, 2005

Productivity report

I thought I should take a moment to say that I'm feeling really good at the blog. I don't get to write in it as much as I want to, but I see that as a sign that I'm still very interested, and very passionate, about blogging. I'm getting a healthy number of comments and hits, so I'm not going to complain. I'm also being a very productive writer today. When I get into a groove writing, I'm always astonished by how much I can write and how I think things through without forcing it. So, I'm going to try and keep it up. And the fourth quarter GDP numbers were revised, up from 3.1% to 3.8%, really good news. Things are good, in other words.

I heard it from Greg

who heard it from Kuff who heard it from lots of people: Ben Barnes says "that baby ain't mine." No, actually he and KBH are denying that they are partnered for some race in 2006 (gubernatorial primary maybe?). So we can again breathe a sigh of relief that Ben Barnes will not be involved. The Texas Weekly gets it from both parties.

Elsewhere, things are getting ugly

This LA Times piece is about how the "gloves are coming off" in the Social Security debate. Shreveport newspaper readers are expected to see a full-page ad denouncing Rep. Jim McCrery on his position on Social Security. Republicans are saying that it is a liberal front group representing the "Michael Moore wing of the Democratic Party." If that's the best they can do in this debate, then they are in real big trouble. The article correctly notes how incorrect the USA Next ad on the American Spectator Web site was, however. And we get into a discussion about how advocacy groups are "staying relevant" until the '06 midterms. I think it's important to note that a newspaper is more than willing to do a story about the fight between groups than about one particular group and it's inability to get facts and figure right. The mainstream media is more concerned with process and the horserace (process is important, but so is the end result) stories than about the actual facts in the debate. That's why third-party groups are so attractive to donators. They spend time, money and energy getting 'facts" out there. Some have better facts than others, in fact some are outright lying. But the established media can't be bothered to give people straight information, so it's left to bloggers and advocacy groups to inform people. Meanwhile, the LA Times will be busy writing about how we're fighting instead of why we're fighting.

Do the Republicans even know what they are arguing for?

You have to wonder if Republicans even know the details of Bush's Social Security phase-out plan. I mean, they keep getting stuff wrong when debating it on television, like last night's Hardball. I don't know if anyone told Susan Molinari, but privatization is exactly about getting rid of a defined-benefit system.

MATTHEWS:  We have got a poll here I looked at, an NBC poll last week came out that nobody has paid much attention to.  It says that, by 2-1, the American people are more insistent on the guaranteed part of Social Security, the insurance part, we‘re going to get the money, than they are on this option of going to a personal account.  MOLINARI:  Well, sure.  I actually think the Reverend is right, that that is what people are concerned about right now.  I think that the Republicans have failed to answer that question as articulately as they can.  It‘s the plan that has taken place.  But I think that it is something they will overcome.  But it has definitely put members of Congress at a disadvantage as they go home and try and sell the personal savings account, while they are failing to give people the kind of comfort and confidence that they should have, because the Bush plan does guarantee that.  It doesn‘t change anything for people in terms of that guarantee from today.  If anything, it strengthens it for the younger people.  MATTHEWS:  Right.
Wrong, Chris. The only guaranteed part of this is that you will be forced to buy an annuity that may not even last your lifetime, assuming you made a profit in the market. And that doesn't even begin to cover the disabled and survivor benefits. That's when Sharpton made his entertaining comment that I alluded to last night:
MOLINARI:  But here‘s the deal, though.  Nobody forces you to go into a casino and nobody is going to force you to take up a personal savings account and change the way you currently participate with Social Security.  MATTHEWS:  But if the people who do take up the personal accounts suffer big losses, who is going to take those losses?  (CROSSTALK) MOLINARI:  Well, there are some changes that they make in the last few years, so that there is guaranteed income.  So, a lot of your personal choices is taken away towards the end, so that there is that guarantee.  But I think it is important to say to people who are watching, nobody will make you opt for this if you don‘t want to.  MATTHEWS:  OK. SHARPTON:  But you can be enticed, Susan, just like you‘re enticed into casinos.  And ministers like me try to warn you from being enticed.
Amen, Rev. Sharpton. Molinari also made some outright idiotic comments earlier in the broadcast. While talking about the Jeff Gannon/James Guckert flap, they said "MATTHEWS:  He keeps asking these ringer questions to set the tone.  The trouble is, a lot of these press conferences are on C-SPAN.  They‘re on television.  You create P.R. just by asking the dumb, the stupid questions.  MOLINARI:  But not that obvious.  I mean, let‘s face it.  This is a smart P.R. operation in the White House, is it not?  To have someone who is so implicitly not subtle is hysterical." Well, obviously they aren't that good at press manipulation, Susan. These are the same guys who couldn't do a Google search on the nominee to Sec. of Homeland Security, Bernie Kerik. These are the same guys that don't do news conferences and they only allow rigged "town hall meetings." They also hire Susan's firm, Ketchum, to pay people like Armstrong Williams to support their policies. Yes, not only is she a former Congressman, but she's also an executive at the firm who paid Williams in the payola scandal. Funny that Matthews didn't mention that. I think this goes to prove that Republicans don't know what they are arguing for, as long as they are getting paid, they'll say whatever you want them to.

Capitol Hill blogging

I read in this week's US&WR's Washington Whispers column that Congressmen were scrambling to get blogs started even though "Most have no idea what a blog is." Well, some are regular bloggers and

"The Congressional bloggers praise the power, popularity and potential of blogging, citing it as one of the most frequently visited parts of their Congressional Web sites." More important, however, is the ability to speak directly to readers without a media filter.
Via Political Wire.

A little Guckert in your morning paper, perhaps?

The first mention in print media of the Gannon/Guckert scandal is... the San Francisco Chronicle? Well, maybe not. But it is the first mention of it I've seen in any major daily paper. The Times and the Post haven't touched it yet, and even this is in an opinion piece. This is proving to be the exception to the rule, a giant sex scandal at the White House and it's not selling. I really don't understand why, either. If reporters are worried that gay activist groups are going to pelt them, fear not. Prostitution is prostitution and only legal in Nevada. And getting past all those security checks and the fact that he wasn't a real reporter leaves us with a hell of a story. But no one is biting. Methinks I spoke too soon. It appears the LA Times has taken a nibble, and failed horribly. John at Americablog is pissed that the reporter talked to 6 sources who are defending Guckert and 0 who have done the actual investigating. I'm no journalist (wait, yeah I kinda am) but that's just plain shitty work. Someone like that would be out on their ass in our newsroom. But just when I was sure that everything was going dark, the Houston Chronicle comes through (go figure).This morning's editorial reads

Guckert's only credential as a journalist appears to be attendance at a two-day seminar by the conservative Leadership Oriented Broadcast Journalism School. He apparently gained access to the White House using little more than a fake name, a Social Security number, and date of birth. In an age of heightened security, it's hard to believe this lapse could occur without someone inside the White House vouching for Guckert. The alternative would be little meaningful security at the executive mansion.
Now, as a blogger, I'm loathe to start saying that people who didn't go to journalism school aren't and can never be journalists. But the truth is, to be in the White House press corps, I would hope they did more than attend a seminar from a partisan group. And most of the really good bloggers have been published in regular journalistic publications. What Guckert was doing at Talon News was simply plagiarising White House press releases and transcribing speeches. If he didn't know not to directly copy an entire body of work written by another without crediting it to that person, you just can't be a journalist. It's just like any other profession, some people can do it, others can't. I mean, if you can't drive a stick (no pun intended) you can't be a race car driver. He should have just stuck to his night job (except that was illegal, too). So, I hope that other papers will begin to pick this up and at least offer an editorial on it since they are willing to go three weeks without printing a story about it.

Updated bloglines

I've gone about updating my bloglines blogroll. There are now 55 feeds (and yes I'll read all of the everyday) which means lots of reading and thinking. There aren't exactly a lot of conservative voices there, so if anyone of my readers has a suggestion for favorite conservative or if they just think I've missed somebody who should be there, leave a comment with a link. If I like it, I'll probably go ahead an add it. You can check it out by clicking here. It will take you to the public bloglines blogroll page for my profile. The next step will be to use the html coding that will put my bloglines blogroll in the right-hand column. But that is a while from now.

First to file first to, um

I can't think of a clever rhyme, but a Waco city councilman is the first to file for the last year of the late Mae Jackson's term as mayor.

Waco Councilman Maurice Labens ended speculation Thursday by declaring he would run for mayor in the May 7 election. Labens, the District 5 representative who placed second in last year's mayoral race, is the first to announce for this one. Whoever wins will finish the year remaining in the term of Mae Jackson, who died Feb. 11.
It's just getting started, folks. The current mayor, Robin McDurham, is serving until the special election, and it would count as one full term if she ran, but she plans to run for her District 4 seat in the upcoming election, the one she had to resign from in order to be mayor for 4 months. If it seems confusing, that's because it is. Former state Rep. John Mabry said he is also considering a run for mayor. This race is only going to get hotter, and I'll try to keep you updated on the latest.

Now we're getting it

A new group plans to raise $50 million to pressure Congressmen to protect Social Security fro privatization. From this morning's Washington Post.

"At Americans United to Protect Social Security, we are going to run a national campaign to defeat the president's privatization plan," said Brad Woodhouse, the group's spokesman and the former communications director of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. "The president and his supporters in Congress are messing with the third rail [of politics]; we're going to make sure they get zapped."
That's kinda corny, but kinda nice. The Rev. Al Sharpton was on Hardball last night with some great one-liners to help out the effort, too. There's no transcript available at the moment, and I'd hate to misquote him, but it was something like "and they may try to entice you to opt-in to the private accounts, just like the casinos that ministers like me warn you about" after Matthews made an apt analogy between privatization and gambling in casinos in Atlantic City. I'll update when there is a transcript. But could it be that Democrats are ready to buckle down and show some message discipline and unity. The president doesn't know what hit him, a full phalanx of Democrats who won't budge an inch on Social Security. It's a great day in Democratic politics and for the country in general. Raising un-Godly amounts of money and fighting the Republicans over everything we disagree with them on and everything we stand for is the first step on the long road to victory.

What kind of blogger would I be

If I didn't point out two big news stories? One has got to be the Frank Luntz playbook. Read a few passages and you'll really start to feel like you've stepped through the looking glass. DKos has been pushing the story and Think Progress has been dissecting with a number of blog posts. Some highlights.

In his memo on how to manipulate American perception on the economy, right-wing spinmeister Frank Luntz advises conservatives to “resist the temptation’ to use facts and figures about the economy. (You know, all those pesky statistics about lower wages, unemployment, skyrocketing deficits, etc.) Instead, he advises, you can’t go wrong if you continuosly remind people about the terrorist attacks of 9/11. “This is the context that explains and justifies why we have $500 billion deficits, why the stock market tanked, why unemployment climbed to 6%.”
Frank Luntz disgusts me. This kind of thinking is where politics goes wrong and starts being about politics instead of helping people. Reagan was wrong, government isn't the problem, it's a government that listens to people like Luntz that is the problem. And the other big news Jeff Gannon has a blog. Nevermind that we all know that Gannon isn't his real name. I just don't know how this farce is going to continue, but kudos to Guckert for keeping his name in the news and making it easier to keep investigating him and the security leaks at the White House. Shame on him for titling a post "Fear and Loathing..." anything. Dr. Hunter S. Thompson was a doctor of journalism; you're a gay prostitute that plagiarises, not nearly the same thing. AmericaBlog has some thoughts.

The trial of the week

No, not Michael Jackson! I don't really see the need for a trial there, let alone this much press coverage. No, I'm talking about Speaker Tom Craddick being subpoenaed and set to testify in the TRMPAC scandal as early as next week. Pink Dome let's us know and is selling tickets to the Circus Maximus. It's set for Tuesday, so I'm not able to go, but I'm sure some enterprising Texas blogger will be there (other than Pink) and we'll have plenty of accounts from his testimony. Who knows, we might even uncover something about TRMPAC's illegal use of corporate campaign contributions while we're at it.

Thursday, February 24, 2005

Koufax Award winner

I meant to write about the Koufax Award winners earlier this week, but it seem like now is as good a time as any. What are the Koufax Awards? Where have you been, under a rock? They are the most prestigious awards given for a variety of categories to lefty bloggers. Usually the better known blogs (there are 7 million of us and we can't all win) and those that everyone reads. This year, for Best Single Issue blog, Grits for Breakfast tied with Talk Left. GFB is a Texas blog, so kudos to them. I've been meaning to add them to my blogroll, but I just haven't gotten around to it. Like I said, there are 7 million blogs, it's hard to read all of them. BOR was nominated for that category, but unfortunately didn't make the cut for the finals. Sad really, because I think BOR is one of the best blogs around, and not just because I occassionally write there as well. Anyway, read the winners list and you might find something new to check out.

You've gotta love it

Any column titled "Bush spreads lies about Social Security" is a winner to me. From the Seattle Post-Intelligencer.

Running our race

The 2006 gubernatorial race is almost upon us. Seriously, campaigning for the primaries has already begun for some. Kay Bailey Hutchison has been putting people together for her run and has been travelling the state, Gov. Rick Perry has been releasing list of supporters to scare KBH and Comptroller Strayhorn off. Kinky Friedman has been doing whatever the hell it is he does to get headlines and support. Then there is Chris Bell. The former Congressman who had the guts to file an ethic complaint against Tom DeLay that resulted in his latest two rebukes from the ethics committee in the House (before they packed the committee with Tom DeLay's contributors and friends). BOR has a letter from Bell explaining why Democrats shouldn't vote in the GOP primary, but should concentrate on making our party stronger.

Dear Friends,

In recent weeks, I have had the opportunity to speak with many Democrats across Texas as I've begun the process of exploring the race for Governor. We've discussed the failures of the Perry administration on issues ranging from school funding to reducing teen pregnancy. We've discussed the revolving door of influence-peddling in the capitol that has Texans questioning the integrity of our elected officials. We've discussed the need for a renewed commitment to our state's world-class higher education system. And often, too often, we've ended up talking about our shared frustrations over the course being charted for our state by Republican ideologues in Austin.

It would be easy for Democrats in Texas to allow our frustration to regress into despair as we see how thoroughly the GOP has come to dominate our state government in recent years. This is particularly true when the self-anointed political experts start ceding this governor's race to Sen. Hutchison before she has even entered it, much less survived what is sure to be a bloody and vitriolic primary. But while the road out of the wilderness for Texas Democrats does not always appear well-lit, it is a road we will never travel if we allow our frustrations to prevent us from taking the first steps.

Make no mistake about it: This Democratic nomination is worth having. Over the last three years, Democrats have won gubernatorial races across the Great Plains and the West in states far more conservative than Texas. In Kansas and Oklahoma, in Montana and Wyoming, Democrats have taken back statehouses after decades of Republican control because they were first and foremost unwilling to accept the conventional wisdom that says Democrats can no longer compete in red states.

In the upcoming months, I hope to start a regular conversation with you about the future we can build together for Texas. Let's talk about how we can rebuild our education system to lift children up and prepare them for the challenges of tomorrow. Let's talk about how we can clean up Austin to restore public faith in the integrity of our government. And let's talk about how we can rebuild our party so Texans will never suffer the illusion that the choice between moderate Republicans and conservative Republicans is the only real choice we have. This is a conversation that our state and our party desperately need, and I sincerely hope you will join me in it.

Sincerely, Chris Bell

The more I hear from him, the more hope I feel for my state's future. I think he just might be the guy. I don't know yet, all I've heard is rhetoric. But he's a promising candidate. I don't know if I'm totally supportive, but I'm willing to give a few bucks next paycheck to his exploratory committee so that he can continue to travel Texas and talk to people. I might even put his Web site up on the links list.

Let's go to the video

I wanted to do a separate post for the video of the Santorum meeting. MoveOn is running the clip along with a campaign to get people to write letters to the editor of their local newspapers. Here is the link that I received. You can write a letter to one of my local papers (I'm prohibited from writing to the Trib, you know, since I work there), or one of the national papers listed. I encourage you to do so because it is important for people to know that what is at stake is not whether they get money from the stock market or from the government, it's whether they have security in old age or not. Conservatives want it to be just like it was in the 1930s when so retiring meant becoming poor. It meant being a burden on your family and it meant an undignified death for some. Social Security has virtually eliminated that and conservatives want to take it away from us. We can't let them.

Social Security compromise

What should Democrats do to fix Social Security? Should we compromise with the more moderate Republicans and fix the insolvency problem? That's a toughie. You see, there is no actual way of knowing if there is a $3.7 trillion shortfall until it's been 75 years. The projections, while not seemingly wildly inaccurate, are assumptions about something far off into the future. We don't know how many people will be born over that period or how many workers wil be paying into the system in 30 years, so making huge changes to a system that works just fine is a really bad idea. But there is a projection of red-ink, and there has been for quite a while now, so there is probably something to it. So what to do? The Washington Post today outlined some of the compromise programs out there. One of the best is probably also the most politically palatable.

More attractive has been the ultimate "tinkerer" plan from Robert M. Ball, a former Social Security commissioner. Rep. David R. Obey (Wis.), the ranking Democrat on the House Appropriations Committee, has made Ball's plan his own, and its nip-and-tuck approach to the problem has influenced the stance of AARP, the powerful retirees' lobby.

Ball would take four initial steps: lift the cap on taxable wages to 90 percent of all earnings, or about $145,000; slow annual cost-of-living benefit adjustments; cover newly hired state and local government workers; and dedicate all inheritance taxes levied on estates worth more than $3.5 million to Social Security.

Those steps would ensure full Social Security benefits through 2078, the Social Security actuary concluded. If funds should fall short, Ball would fill the gap through slight increases in payroll tax rates.

Not a bad approach, eh? Tinkering is exactly what is required to keep the system tuned and running smoothly. Every time a new projection comes out, we can adjust to match. It's flexible and it's smart. Plus, some of the things proposed, like raising the payroll tax cap, are in vogue at the moment. So I give this a good chance of passing.

But the conservatives, that's another approach all together. They are hell bent on destroying Social Security. They even like to chant it. A group of them were caught by CNN doing just that outside of Sen. Rick "Man on Dog sex" Santorum's conference on Social Security "saving". It's a farce to call it reform and saving when you're goal is to destroy and gut the program. I might even venture to call it lying.

The craziest plan:

The ultimate private-account plan belongs to Peter J. Ferrara, a longtime advocate of Social Security's partial privatization. Under Ferrara's approach, adopted by Sen. John E. Sununu (R-N.H.) and Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), and also by such activists as former House speaker Newt Gingrich and conservative organizer Grover Norquist, personal accounts would average 6.4 percentage points of the 12.4 percent Social Security tax, considerably larger than Bush's proposed 4 percentage-point diversion.

Like the Bush proposal, Ferrara would offset contributions to voluntary private accounts with equal cuts to workers' base Social Security benefit -- what workers see as a monthly, guaranteed check. But under Ferrara's plan, the accounts would be so big that participating workers beginning their careers this year could expect to have no basic Social Security benefit left by retirement, according to a Social Security actuarial analysis.

On the plus side, Ferrara says, the accounts would grow so quickly that they would more than make up for the lost benefit, disputing a contention shared by the White House that personal accounts alone cannot solve Social Security's problems.

On the downside, the accounts would cost nearly $7 trillion over 75 years, almost twice Social Security's cash deficit over that period. That's because diverting such a large percentage of payroll taxes to private accounts for future retirees would leave the government short of the cash it needs to pay current beneficiaries.

Yeah, good job saving Social Security Ferrara. Not to mention the $7 trillion dollar price tag. What the hell are these people thinking? In what dimesnion does any of this make sense? You'll own the account (not really) and your descendants for 10 generations will own the huge freakin' debt!

There is an accompanying graphic that shows how these plans all stack up to each other, and to Bush's proposal, which technically hasn't been released yet. The best plan on the board doesn't have any Congressional support so far, and I don't really expect it to. So, our compromise has to be the "tinkerer" plan.

See, I can compromise.

Wednesday, February 23, 2005

All's well that ends well

I guess things ended on a high note for the cable mix up. After several more calls about the game not being on (one lady asked about the Lady Bears golf team and another was irrate that she couldn't watch "Waco High girls vs. Kansas" and another couldn't understand why the newspaper sports clerk couldn't turn a game on the proper channel) I finally got really upset and began telling them they called the wrong number, they wanted TIME WARNER CABLE. They real high note, was that the game finally came on and all the old people that were too stupid to read the screen of the channel they were decrying were treated to a decent game. The Lady Bears won, 70-60, over Kansas. But after dealing with so many people who obviously can't tell a television from a newspaper, I wasn't shocked to find this Harris poll taken earlier this month. Some of the results show just how uninformed this electorate is.

More surprising perhaps are the large numbers (albeit not majorities) who believe the following claims not made by the president and which virtually no experts believe to be true: * 47 percent believe that Saddam Hussein helped plan and support the hijackers who attacked the U.S. on September 11, 2001 (up six percentage points from November). * 44 percent actually believe that several of the hijackers who attacked the U.S. on September 11 were Iraqis (up significantly from 37% in November). * 36 percent believe that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction when the U.S. invaded (down slightly from 38% in November).
Some of the other things in the poll, like was Saddam a threat, I think could be argued from either side. But the nationality of the people who attacked us on 9/11, you have got to be some fucking kind of moron to not know that. How can you call yourself patriotic if you can't even properly remember the 3,000 people killed that day and who and why killed them. It's sacrilege and it's infuriating. I've really just about had it. I think it is mostly the media's fault for this lack of context (i.e. reporting that the president's statements aren't true when he's just making stuff up) and the lack of real information (i.e. Brit Hume doctoring FDR's quotes on his news show). If we don't get cracking, and I'm including bloggers in this, and start informing the public about basic facts, then we are going to be living in turd city for a long time. In a democracy, the people need to make informed choices, and they don't have the tools necessary to do that.

So little time

It sometimes takes me weeks or months to get around to doing things. My job and the hours it requires make it nearly impossible to do anything unless it is on a day off, which usually means Saturday, which usually means I have to wait several weeks for a weekday off. Even blogging is hampstringed by my job. Last night, I wanted talk about Chris Bell and the upcoming gubernatorial race, but I got swamped with calls from people who wanted to know the same 5 basketball scores for 3 hours. My page was almost off the floor after deadline and I didn't even leave the newsroom until 1 a.m. I'm not doing much socially, either. There have been a few movies to come out in recent months that I wanted to see but couldn't because I didn't have the time or because I was tired and wanted to spend my day off catching up on my sleep. About the only thing I have planned is a baby shower for a friend from high school. That's kind of sad. A really interesting development. While I was writing this, I've gotten at least 5 calls asking why the Baylor Women's basketball game isn't on Time Warner channel 15. Now, maybe it's because I'm part of the liberal media conspiracy, but I really don't understand why you would call a newspaper to find out why the cable company isn't showing a basketball game. I would call the cable company. But that's they kind of thing I have to work with here. I just needed to get all that off my chest. I don't bitch about my life enough (there isn't that much reason to) so I just had to get it out of the way.

Tuesday, February 22, 2005

Some thoughts on HRC in '08

I keep seeing that Hillary Clinton's poll numbers are doing well and that she is the presumed front-runner in 2008. I even noticed it at the top of the Washington Whispers column in US&WR this weekend, that she and Kerry both believe that the nomination is in the bag. But I'm thinking that this might be leading to some overconfidence amongst the rank-and-file that our most polarizing political figure may be OK to run. Speaking purely on strategy, some have said that if the Republicans had any dirt on HRC, they would be sliming her right now because they can't resist. They're not all stupid. In fact, the strategists seem to be very cunning. Besides, I remember reading an Atlantic Monthly article on the evolution of oppo research in political campaigns this summer, and the Republican guy had boxes full of material on HRC because they keep expecting her to run and they keep digging up old quotes and news stories and such. So thinking that we are in the clear is a big mistake. The Republicans will use whatever they have whenever it is most advantageous for them. On the purely personal level, I prefer not to have HRC run at all. I don't want anotehr Clinton in the White House, I think it was really bad for the party the way we were so reliant on Bill, and it could happen again. Besides, I'm more amenable to Russ Feingold running in '08. I'd like to get involved early in that campaign.

SCOTUS specualtion

Because of the seriousness of his illness and the way in which it is interfering with his duties, most of us have come to agree that Chief Justice Rehnquist will step down by the time the Court's term ends this summer. You can say "well, duh" all you want, but Rehnquist is hanging in there at the moment and he's not the type to quit. Still, however, it's becoming almost unavoidable. So, here is a quick shortlist of candidates for the Bench.

Michael McConnell John Roberts J. Harvie Wilkinson III J. Michael Luttig
The Legal Times puts Roberts at the head of that list. According to Salon, Roberts has
"the stealth appeal of Souter with the unwavering ideology of Scalia and Thomas."
That's a scary thought. Roberts is a member of the Federalist Society (that's still better than the John Birch Society, but not near as good as the Millard Fillmore Society) and he worked in the Reagan White House in the counsel's office and he clerked for Rehnquist. That's going to make him way too appealing for some conservatives and I don't like people who "legislate from the bench" they way he might. It's time to get serious about this. The Democratic cacuses need to get together and discuss who we might or might not confirm to the Bench when Rehnquist steps down.

Of all the things in the world to be glad for

The NBA is back on TV! I don't really like basketball, but I can get into watching the Mavs or watching college ball. What I really like is hockey. But it doesn't look like I'm going to be watching any Dallas Stars games in the near future. That's really sad because that's one of the few professional sports I really, really enjoyed. Life, will go on at Common Sense, however. And the NCAA Tournament isn't too far off. I've got a good feeling about the Baylor women.

Monday, February 21, 2005

Today's obligatory Gannon/Guckert post

Bloggermann has the latest (from yesterday) in the Gannon/Guckert saga. Apparently he is planning to sue people, lot's of peope, for "political assassination." Nevermind that there is no such thing in federal case law that you can sue under. He could sue for libel, but he'd have to prove the naked pictures of him weren't really of him and the gay escort site registered to him weren't registered to him, and that everybody knew that this was false. That'll happen, checks in the mail Jim. Keith writes about how completely stupid this whole saga devolved to, that he's claiming no one wants to interview him while simultaneously trying to claim the right to privacy. He's definitely a case study in the schizophrenia and hipocrisy that is the political right. What's going to be really exciting is the latest revelation. I don't know what it is or when it will hit, but something big is on the way. I can feel it. This story has too many 'how did he's for this not to have more to it. I'm starting to suspect a possible gay lover in the high eschelons of the White House, just like Bill Maher. If that's not it, then it is a gross dereliction of duty on the part of the Secret Service, which I don't buy. Those guys are too well-trained and too competent for this kind of fuck-up. This has Republican written all over it.

Is Napolean Dynamite dead?

No, he isn't. One of the Web sites I read every day through my Bloglines account is Snopes.com's New Urban Legends page. I just happened to see this one about a rumor going around that Napolean Dynamite star John Heder died in either a car crash or as a result of a drug overdose. Neither is true. He is fine and working on two different movie projects. The Snopes piece credits the movie with introducing the word "liger" to younger audiences. i would just like to point out that there was a cartoon on afternoon Toonami a few years ago about battling robots, and one of them was the Liger, so once again I prove that I'm a total dork. It would be really sad if I remembered the name of the show, but my good friend Space Monkey does, so you'll probably see an update tonight on that.

WTF?

(Sighs in exasperation) This is what the right-wing thinks constitutes a debate on Social Security (Via dailyKos). "They hate the troops and love gays, so you know they must be wrong about our evil scheme to privatize Social Security: they're AARP." Yeah, it's about that stupid, but with pictures instead words.

Why is she still in the news?

Paris Hilton's cell phone got hacked and now a bunch of celebrities' phone numbers are listed online. Who cares? Why am I writing about this? Does this really matter?

Just a matter of time

Kay Bailey Hutchison has been travelling around the state recently, "Looking ever more like a candidate for governor" according to Wayne Slater. So it seems almost imminent that she announces her intention to run against Perry in the GOP primary. I think that is super fantastic news. I've said before, the more vicious that primary, the better the Democrats' chances of retaking the Governor's Mansion. Greg thinks that a multi-candidate field in the GOP primary goes in KBH's favor, while I think support would split between her and Strayhorn, giving Perry the edge. I also think that Perry has enough of the base on his side to win a toe-to-toe fight, but just barely. I think having the establishment on your side is a prerequisite in Republican party politics, while the opposite seems true in Dem politics. KBH has also hired former Democratic Lt. Gov. Ben Barnes (yeah, that Ben Barnes) to head up "Democrats for Hutchison" a misnomer if ever I saw one.

Anti-gay or anti-anti-gay?

I swear, some of the language that anti-gay religious groups use really makes me wonder sometimes. A Toronto-based group, Traditional Values Coalition has decided to target Shrek 2 as having "subtle sexual messages" that promote homosexuality. I'm not going to go into how incredibly stupid the argument is. I think film studies professor at the University of Toronto Charles Keil does it pretty early on in this piece: "'You have an image within a comic context that could be read either way,' says Keil, who adds quickly that such humour is designed for parents anyway and goes way above the heads of the children in the audience. 'If the kids don't get it, it doesn't really matter.'" We're going to look at some of the really entertaining phrases.

Christian activists have also targeted SpongeBob SquarePants, Barney the dinosaur and Sesame Street's Bert & Ernie as children's characters who are conduits for a soft-on-gays message.
After all, what they really want is a hard-on-gays message. That explains Jeff Gannon. Really though, people like this are just too much. Why on earth would anyone not like Shrek 2, other than the crass commercialism involved in making it and the soulless corporation reaping profits from indoctrinating kids into a world where something they love can be measured by how much money they spend on it. But you don't hear me bitching. These groups need to quit being so damned paranoid looking for the secret gay code words in every movie and television show, and I don't know, help the poor like Jesus did. One more thing. Gaydar? Only Candians would think that is an actual word that you can use in a news story.

Sunday, February 20, 2005

Hunter S. Thompson is dead

One of my heroes, an American icon if ever there was one, Hunter S. Thompson is dead. His body was found by his son Juan at their Colorado compound after he shot himself tonight. Thompson is the father of "Gonzo journalism" which I consider to be something of a precursor to blogging journalism. Bloggers make themselves part of the story, so I feel that we may have something in common. Thompson is also the inspiration for reporter "Uncle Duke" in the Doonesbury comic strip. Even though he was a journalist, he never really wrote journalism-type stories. He was more apt to save scraps of paper or tapes to write a novel about his experiences. He wrote an insightful book about the Hell's Angels after spending a year riding with them, The Rum Diaries about his experiences in Puerto Rico, Fear and Loathing on the Campaign Trail '72 about the 1972 presidential race and perhaps his best known book, Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas about his drug-induced reporting style. That book was turned into a major Hollywood movie starring Johnny Depp and which Thompson consulted on. The red convertible at the beginning is actually his car. I can tell you that many of us who were inspired to write about what we know will miss him terribly. Like I said, he's an American icon and those of us who take to heart his message of writing what you feel and feeling what you write, and understand the true history of America because of his honesty and clever use of fiction where it applied will some day raise a statue in his honor.

Mark Cuban explains why I should get paid

Leave it to billionaire owner of my fav NBA team, the Dallas Mavericks, to explain why I, a lowly blogger, should get the respect (and paycheck) I deserve.

The bloggers are here, and they are ready to knock down the gates and get their pound of flesh. The traditional media has no idea what is about to hit them. In every major conference, at every major speech, sitting at tables in restaurants, there is going to be a blogger or podcaster with microphone, PDA, Videophone, laptop or paper and pencil in hand. Listening. Taking notes. That information is going to be transmitted to and from a blog entry and placed in the hands of "the readers." Unlike celebrities who hear or see the flash of the camera, the gatekeepers don't know they are there. Blogging in plain site. Questioning everything.
That's right! We're a sneaky lot, and we are hording batteries and mini pizzas for the long siege ahead. Actually, like I said before, I think blogging and journalism go hand-in-hand. And Cuban's plan to deal with the "new paparazzi" that are political bloggers is to recognize them and give them access, just like you would with established media. Once inside, bloggers will look and act just like old-media. I think he's wrong there; I think that you will see a hybrid beast emerge. One that questions everything and has a lot of individual flavor, but also doesn't feel the need to prove themselves at every single moment of the day because they've already achieved access and credibility. That's something I can't wait to see. Via Press Box at Slate.

What is it with taping people?

A friend of President Bush's apparently taped him in the run-up to and during the 2000 presidential race without his knowledge. Aside from the interesting stuff we learn, I think it's kind of creepy that people who run for office keep getting taped when they are having private conversations with friends. Now that I've said that, on to the dirt. There's actually not a lot, but here are few choice excerpts:

Before the New Hampshire primary, Mr. Bush all but dismissed Senator John McCain, who turned out to be his strongest challenger. "He's going to wear very thin when it is all said and done," he said. When Mr. Wead suggested in June 2000 that Mr. McCain's popularity with Democrats and moderate voters might make him a strong vice presidential candidate, Mr. Bush almost laughed. "Oh, come on!" He added, "I don't know if he helps us win." ... Mr. Bush bristled at even an implicit aspersion on his past behavior from Dan Quayle, the former vice president and a rival candidate. "He's gone ugly on me, man," Mr. Bush told Mr. Wead. Mr. Bush quoted Mr. Quayle as saying, "I'm proud of what I did before 40." "As if I am not!" Mr. Bush said. ... Early on, though, Mr. Bush appeared most worried that Christian conservatives would object to his determination not to criticize gay people. "I think he wants me to attack homosexuals," Mr. Bush said after meeting James Robison, a prominent evangelical minister in Texas. But Mr. Bush said he did not intend to change his position. He said he told Mr. Robison: "Look, James, I got to tell you two things right off the bat. One, I'm not going to kick gays, because I'm a sinner. How can I differentiate sin?" ... He refused to answer reporters' questions about his past behavior, he said, even though it might cost him the election. Defending his approach, Mr. Bush said: "I wouldn't answer the marijuana questions. You know why? Because I don't want some little kid doing what I tried."
That's some interesting stuff. That last one could almost be construed as an admission to having tried marijuana. But we'll never really know, I guess.

Blogging about blogging

I mentioned that The Daily Show had a segment on bloggers last week. Well, here's a video clip. Ted Hitler, now that's comedy. That was actually one of the better-written shows in a while. Sometimes, the show feels a little phoned in, but that night they were obviously feeling the muse. That brings up some questions about how effective bloggers actually are at changing the news. I think bloggers probably don't have as much impact as they think they do, and definitely not as much as has been reported over the past week. That's not to say that they haven't been insrumental in some of the biggest news stories of the last 2-3 years. But I think our greatest strength comes when we work with the mainstream press to get to the bottom of the story. We have to face the fact that not everybody is online ... yet. We can rant and rave (and I will), yet no one will read it because it in a secluded corner of cyberspace. So the solution seems to be that blogging and journalism should go hand in hand. That's my theory anyway. Now, we bloggers have done our part in exposing parts of the Jeff Gonnon/James Guckert scandal. It's time for the establishment media to get off their collective asses and get to reporting. Otherwise, I don't see how they've really done anything to inform the masses. And that's a shame.

I probably should have gotten a shot

Because of my phobia of needles and my general dislike of doctors, I never get a flu shot. I always figure that the worst that happens is I get the flu, spend a day in bed and drink lots of orange juice. Well, that's pretty much how my weekend went. Yesterday was my day in bed (luckily it was also my day off) and I've had a little Sunny Delight to help stave off death. But, i'm pretty much over it. It's probably because of my awesome immune system. I never suffer more than a day, it's usually a few weeks of just stuffy noses or slight headaches. That's what I'd be feeling anyway with this freaky weather right now, so it's pretty much a draw. So, I'll resume my regular, irregular, posting schedule.

Friday, February 18, 2005

Damnit Joe

I think his Joementum is going the wrong way. Via Josh Marshall, Congress Daily has this:

Sen. Joseph Lieberman, D-Conn., is undecided about the concept of using payroll taxes to fund private Social Security accounts, bringing to three the known number of Senate Democrats who have yet to publicly rule out the idea. President Bush has made the accounts the centerpiece of his domestic agenda. But other than Rep. Allen Boyd of Florida, no congressional Democrats have formally signed on. While Lieberman has concerns about the idea, he is continuing to study it while hoping for more details on Social Security from the president, a Lieberman aide said today. "He's still in a listening and learning stage and is keeping an open mind, but he does have concerns about private accounts as carve-outs that would potentially undermine the guaranteed minimum benefit and worsen our fiscal health and debt load," a Lieberman aide said today.
After his appearance on the Daily Show on Inaguaration Day I was pleased to see that he he wanted to protect Social Security. But now he's back in the Fainthearted Faction and he's listening to the bullshit coming out of the White House. Joe, don't turn to the dark side on us. We've been down this road a thousand times and the GOP will only break your heart. You won't get what you want from them; no good can come of it. Come home, Joe, come home.

Pseudonym for a dream

The Jeff Gannon/James Guckert story is the gift that keeps on giving. He's better than Bernie Kerik and his "love nest." It turns out that Guckert was asking questions of Ari Fleischer before Talon News wasn't even established, blowing apart the last shred of credibility that Scott McClellan had when explaining why Gannon/Guckert got day passes. Now Scotty is saying that he got daily passes for the GOPUSA site. Like I said, no credibility. I would very much like to see the press pass requests that Guckert used and that McClellan should have. I think Scott has got himself into a pickle here and it'll be really funny to see how he weathers this storm, if at all. Fleischer admitted in an interview with Editor & Publisher that he knew Guckert was working for GOPUSA and that he probably shouldn't have been there. He does say he didn't know Gannon wasn't his real name, though I should point out that McClellan has admitted that he knew. So, if the Press Secretary doesn't know someone is using an alias and didn't give him his credentials, how did he get there? That's the big question. It's not even that he was probably planted there for the purpose that he did serve. The question is, how did he get there? Don't you think a gay hooker using a fake name is kind of a security threat? I don't like Bush, but I definitely don't want anyone infiltrating the White House and trying to assassinate him. I believe in the beauties of a free and democratic society, and that isn't free or democratic. If Gannon/Guckert can do it, the possibility that someone who wished harm to our president is raised as well. That, of course, doesn't even get into the leaks that he got as a "reporter" (if he's a reporter, then I'm a Pulizer Prize winner). I'm all about alternative media, but most of what he wrote was garbage with no basis in reality. And Talon News did no actual news gathering; they were more or less a transcript service. No dear friends, this stinks to high heaven, and I doubt we've seen all we will of Gannon/Guckert. His sites are still active (though I don't know if he still has his escort profiles still working. I don't think I'm going to go looking, either) and he is still writing for himself.

Going nowhere fast

This Seattle Post-Intelligencer story from the Times says it all Social Security change 'going nowhere': Both parties rebuff president's latest suggestion If he seriously thinks he is going to get Democrats on board now, he really is "divorced from reality." Who strategizes these things at the White House? Unless they are trying to look like the underdog (what with both houses of Congress, the judiciary and the White House) this is beginning to get pathetic. How in the world does he offer up raising taxes to pay for the shortfall that has nothing to do with private accounts so that he can get private accounts? That is not a winning hand for him. I mean, if the Dems go along with it, which they probably won't right now, then the shortfall problem is covered. He has no "crisis" to fix with private accounts that don't fix anything. And no way the Dems cave on it later and allow more to be carved out of payroll taxes to phase-out Social Security. About all he can hope for is that Democrats get what they want, and then try to paint them as anti-reform in 2006. That's if every Democrat doesn't go back to his home district and parade himself around as one of the guys who saved Social Security from the evil Republicans who tried to destroy it. I really don't see this as a win-win for him. If he's trying to make inroads to the younger 18-30 crowd (like me), this is not really the issue. I think people my age are more concerned with the costs of living today and school loans and the lack of job security. Then we might also see this as just another example of corporate America trying to get rid of our retirement security like they did to our parents' pensions.

Thursday, February 17, 2005

Mae Jackson will be missed

The mayor of Waco, Mae Jackson, died suddenly last week. I haven't done any posts on it because I really felt it wasn't for me to try to eulogize her. She was a great woman who was very active in the Democratic Party and who did a lot of good things for Waco. But I didn't really know her. Most of my involvement with the city was centered around former City Manager Kathy Rice. I didn't really have anything to do with the mayor's office. And Mae Jackson was only elected after Kathy was fired, so the chances of me working with her when she was mayor were slim. I did meet her once when she was a councilwoman back in 2001, and she made an impression as a very kind-hearted person. But that was it. Nonetheless, I was shocked and saddened when I first learned that she died last Friday. It hurt because I knew that she cared about other people and that she will be sorely missed. David Holmes wrote a letter to Byron about his trip to Waco yesterday and the great Democrats here in my home city. It made me want to do more to elect good people like Mae by helping my party and being more active in the party. I emailed him to tell him so and I hope I get the chance soon. A special election has been slated for May 7 to fill the mayor's post and finish the remaining year of Mae Jackson's term. I might try to help elect another Democrat to the position. Meanwhile, the city council will appoint someone mayor until that election.

Taking a good idea and making it bad

That seems to be all President Bush can do with Social Security. The idea of passing on wealth and having a personal retirement account got blown to hell with his Social Security phase-out plan and now the idea of raising the wage cap on payroll taxes is not going anywhere, either. In order to come up with money for his private accounts system, "Bush said Thursday that members of Congress should feel free to make any such proposals 'without political retribution.'" I don't know if anyone has explained to his how democracy works to him, but voters are to the ones who decide who get rebuffed for a bad political idea. The really sad thing about this is that raising the cap covers the shortfall to an extent that there is no more argument for him to claim Social Security is insolvent anymore. That's his whole rationale for this bad idea. We'd still have to borrow $4.5 trillion the first 20 years of his phase-out program to pay for private accounts. And his plan calls for benefit cuts to be proportional to the return of the private accounts, plus interest. You'd still lose money with this. To prove it, a number of online calculators have been set up. Sen. Charles Schumer's I found through Josh Marshall. Unless this is some Rovian-reverse-psychology thing, he should really learn to not talk. Everytime Bush says something, he either pisses off Democrats or confuses Republicans. Nothing good ever comes from him opening his mouth.

I told you I was behind ... Blog the Revolution!

I'm reading the transcript from Monday's Inside Politics because they used footage from that epidsode on last night's Daily Show with John Stewart. Stewart was doing a segment on blogging and the recent upheavels in the media world because of the reporting being done on the likes of Eason-Gate and the Gannon/Guckert flap (there really is no way to talk about that without being lewd). Judy had Howard Kurtz of all people talking about blogs. She also had a "blog reporter" on to describe what it is blogs do and how they broke the story. So CNN broke a story about how a story broke; the MSM's worst fear. Now 24-hour cable networks are reduced to reporting on other people's reporting because they are too slow. I'm no longer a Hugh Hewitt-type believer in the power of a new medium supplanting the old. I really think that newspapers and traditional journalism still have a place and that blogging is a way for the old media to come into the next century (that's the 21st Century if you were wondering). But the vacuousness of Woodruff and Kurtz is just... stupifying. These people really don't get it, which probably explains why no one went to read Paul Begala's blog during the SOTU. Hell, I got more hits than him that night. Here's a choice quote:

SCHECHNER: Well, we found it. Or actually, one of the bloggers found it. We found it through the blog. Americablog.com which is a liberal site found it. Now we would show you that but the pictures on that site are actually kind of racey. So we didn't want to go there but Wonkette.com (ph) has it as well. And you can read about that story. KURTZ: She has the PG version? SCHECHNER: She has the PG version and then she has a link to the sort of X-rated version. KURTZ: So just like in primetime television sex apparently sells based on these pictures. SCHECHNER: They were and actually they were pretty graphically displayed. And then we went back and they were covered over. KURTZ: Although what this has to do with Jeff Gannon's job at the White House -- whether was criticized on the substance is debatable.
A gay prostitute at the White House isn't news? That's a laugh, Howie. I think CNN is just sore because they realize there isn't much of a reason to watch their network when bloggers do it better, faster and to the reader's content. If they had been able to do, I don't know, a Google search at CNN, they might have broken the story before someone at Media Matters did some leg work and got the guys at AmericaBlog and dKos interested. But CNN is too lazy to do even the most cursory of fact checks before bumbling through another night of Larry King talking about Princess Diana's death and Aaron Brown doing a story on Maya Keyes being gay after everyone else in the world knew that. They waste about 8 hours every night doing shows that nobody watches instead of actual news and make Howie Kurtz go on a show and name-drop Instapundit for ratings. Pathetic. Read the whole transcript if you want. The blogging section is at the bottom of the second half hour so you're gonna have to do some scrolling. I'll have a clip of last night's blog segment on the Daily Show as soon as they put it up.

Wednesday, February 16, 2005

Read this

This is probably the best piece I've ever read on the hypocrisy of the GOP and the double-standards of the media when it comes to homosexuality. Between a constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage to Mullah Dobson running around saying he can cure it, gays have a tough time in this country. The least of it is a gay prostitute getting outed as a White House plant in the press briefing room in the guise of a conservative reporter.

Love, true Love

I may have just met the future Mrs. Common Sense. She's the register girl at Fazzoli's. She's really pretty (she could be a model in disguise) and she was the friendliest cashier I've ever had. Her name was one of those that ends in a 'y' like Becky or Cindy, and I love girls that have names that end in y. I almost made myself look like a dork by saying "I see we're both wearing name tags" but I caught myself. Instead, I said "That's a nice hat" which is much better. Smooth, wasn't it. So, I'm probably going to be eating at Fazzoli's a lot from now on so I can get to know her (before I propose) and we'll see where this leads. I'm optomistic, though.

Days late and broke as hell

I'm days behind the schedule I set up for myself a couple of weeks ago. There are a bunch of things that I wanted to do that I just can't fit into my busy life. My car is way overdue for an oil change, the letter I've been meaning to write to J hasn't even been started yet and yesterday was laundry day, but no laundry was done. You know, it's been about a year since my last vacation, maybe it's time I think about taking another one. Oh, but I can't. Too many things to do at the office. Like I said, you're going to like it. And if not, I'll make you with violence, hahahahahahaha! Yeah, I do need a vacation.

Oh my God, he's making videos now, too

I thought only terrorists hiding underground made videos to spread their propaganda.

When they host town meetings over the Presidents' Day recess next week, congressional Republicans will boast of a special guest: President Bush, via DVDs, proclaiming the need "to fix Social Security, once and for all."
Oh but it gets worse.
"I'm pleased to join you to discuss a subject of tremendous importance to you and your family -- saving and strengthening Social Security for future generations," a relaxed Bush explains in the four-minute recording. "For younger workers, the government has made promises it cannot pay for, and that means Social Security is set to go broke just when you reach retirement. . . . By the year 2042, the entire system would be bankrupt."
I'm wondering if there is any law against making a recording in which you try to sell people on a product or idea using false information. There at least has to be a law against transporting garbage across state lines. After saying that, I don't be allowed in the new caucus (besides, you know, not being a member of Congress) on civility being formed because of the "fireworks" on both sides. The Post "says Precisely how they would do that is still being worked out." I'll bet it is.

Way to go Congressman Edwards

My home district's congressman, Chet Edwards, has been given a new position as the ranking member of the subcommittee on military life. This is great because he is in the midst of fighting a battle to keep the Waco VA hospital open. It's also great because

In addition to the subcommittee on military life, Edwards will join the subcommittee ohomeland security and continue his work on the subcommittee on water and energy. He's one of only two House Democrats serving on three subcommittees.

The water and energy subcommittee will consider funding for fuel sources like coal, oil and natural gas. The similar subcommittee Edwards served on in the past only considered funding for renewable energy sources.

The homeland security subcommittee will oversee spending for the Transportation Safety Administration, border control and the Federal Emergency Management Agency, among others.

A Democrat in that kind of position of influence is good news. Now would be as good a time as any to remind you that he has a re-election in less than 2 years and he still has a gerrymandered district to fight in. So hop on over to his site and contribute.

Tuesday, February 15, 2005

Oral arguments?

Both oral and written arguments from 150 people were used this weekend to persuade KBH to either run or not run against Rick Perry in the GOP primary. I can't tell you how badly I want her to run. The more contentious that primary, the better the Democrats' chances.

Happy Birthday, Josh Marshall!!!

One of my favorite bloggers is having a birthday today. Wonkette's birthday post is about the funniest I've seen. Josh is 36 and way more accomplished than I am. I mean, I'm no Princeton graduate (though I wish I were) and I'm not even as old as he is, I'm only 22. Anyway, happy birthday Josh. I will buy one of those "Privatize This!' t-shirts to make sure TPM gets to keep running.

Comment update

You can now click on the comments button and get a pop-up window, like Moveable Type blogs. Just one of the many things I do for you, my dear readers ... all 5 of you. Actually, Blogger went through the trouble of updating their service. That is freakin' amazing. So I clicked a yes button and republished my whole blog. Eventually, I might get a trackback feature, too. Check out the comments, though. Feedback is always appreciated.

Monday, February 14, 2005

Washington Post does political feature article

The Post has this article on the Democrat's new voice in the Senate. No, not Harry Reid (though he is doing a great job so far), it is the Democratic Senate Policy Committee. I've watched the committee a few times on C-SPAN. My favorite (I'm such a dork) is the one just a few weeks ago where we discovered, gasp, shock, that there is no crisis in Social Security.

"You guys usually call these things 'events,' " (Sen. Byron) Dorgan protested when asked about the session's legitimacy. "We're trying very hard to do this in a serious way." Dorgan has held "hearings" on Halliburton's role in Iraq and on Bush's Social Security plan. And Dorgan has promised to have such sessions monthly, if not more frequently. The Democrats' complaint is that Republicans, who control the real committees, will not hold hearings on anything that might embarrass the administration. "There is a serious problem here in the Congress with a lack of oversight hearings," Dorgan said at his hearing/event. Republicans were not moved by Dorgan's entreaties. Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine), chairman of the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, said that Iraq contracts already receive "intense scrutiny" from a variety of entities. "I plan to continue monitoring such oversight to ensure that our taxpayer dollars are spent wisely," she said in a statement.
But, of course, we know that is bullshit. So, here's to you Sen. Dorgan, for doing a great job and doing what the party in power should be doing but is too chicken to do.

Patriot Act II: Electric Boogaloo

President Bush called on Congress to renew all of the provisions of the Patriot Act that are set to expire when he gave a speech at Alberto (not Antonio! Freakin' Katrina vanden Heuval) Gonzales' swearing in.

A number of measures in the act that expand the government's ability to conduct secret surveillance and use other law enforcement powers will expire at the end of the year unless Congress extends them. Many Democrats and some Republicans have voiced skepticism or outright opposition to an extension, and some lawmakers have offered competing proposals that would restrict the ability of federal agents to demand records from libraries and use other powers granted by the act. Mr. Bush's renewed call for an extension met with skepticism from the American Civil Liberties Union, which called on "cooler heads" in Congress to scrutinize and fine-tune the law to meet civil liberties concerns. "The president and the attorney general must realize that security and liberty are not - and cannot be - mutually exclusive," the group said in a statement. The White House, however, has signaled that it will veto any effort by Congress to rein in counterterrorism powers.
I bet they will. Why on earth would they want to limit their power? You know, he's threatening to veto an awful lot lately. Maybe he should have thought about excercising that power sometime before we reached record deficits and recession. But that would have been too easy. My guess is that if he sees that congressional Republicans are not going with him, he won't veto. If he does, I think that will piss some members of his own party off. I mean, he makes them do what he wants to do and when somebody else wants a turn, he says no? There's no way that doesn't blow up in his face. If he is resigned to constantly vetoing what his own party wants, he will quickly lose favor. He'll cave and cave fast.

Sports blogging

I have to say the end of the Tech-Kansas game was really exciting. I was rooting for Kansas, by the way. It was shocking upset for some of us. The final, 80-79, was a double-overtime gasp by Tech to take the lead back after KU had managed to go up 5 with two and a half minutes remaining. If not for Miles being called for travelling, it would have been very different. But No. 2 is no longer No. 2. And No. 25 is propbably going to move up, but not by much. Figures this would happen the day last week's ranking's are released. We'll have to wait to see just how far Kansas tumbles.

Governor's race heating up ... in 2005?

The GOP primary is getting hot and heavy. KBH has hired some big-hitters for her campaign. Kuff wonders aloud if that means that she is really going to go for it and challenge Perry, or if this is because she is anticipating a tougher re-election than conventional wisdom suggests. And Kinky Friedman announced his candidacy as an Independent last week. Some people consider his campaign a joke, but don't rule out the Kinkster, yet. And Chris Bell is exploring his options, although his exploratory committee says he's going to run. Some people think he is just hyping himself a little for a down-ballot race instead, but I think they are wrong. And I'm hearing some great things about his campaign; he might just be our guy. I think it's too early to tell if I'm going to support him, but I would like to meet him and hear more about what he thinks. This Daily DeLay interview has his views on ethics. I almost ran to my polling place. Stop by and contribute a few bucks if you can. I guess it's never too early to get started on the next campaign.

Oops, arrow in your ass

Happy St. Valentine's Day, dear readers. I hope everyone tuning in to Common Sense today has a special someone they can snuggle with while they read my witty banter. I have no one, of course. I'm all too busy what with the sleeping all day and working all night and outspoken politics (there are way too many republican chicks in this town), so I live a life of quiet desperation. I will however be mailing a letter to J in boot camp. She's cool people and I will tell her that. And if any lesbian-type things are going on, I want to know about them. I'm a taxpayer, it is my right.

Speaking of fuzzy math

Read Jesse's takedown of another guy who can't seem to understand simple enough math. It's really not all that hard, and this guy is living proof that people cannot be allowed to make their own investment choices. They don't know what they are talking about and that is not good. In a very similar way, Al Hubbard was at the Cato Institute last Tuesday telling people he didn't know where people were getting the $4.5 trillion in new borrowing number. He said it was only $700 billion, conveniently forgetting that the first two years that budget cover don't have any spending on the proposed reforms. The multi-trillion number begins in 2009, when the program goes into effect, through the first 20 years. If the director of the Council of Economic Advisors can't do the math, what hope does Bush have?

Woweeee!

I just saw my counter is at 4000 now. That's pretty good, it's only been two weeks since I hit 3000, so that is a lot higher traffic than I really expected. Couple that with my self-imposed blogger exile for the past week, and it is remarkable. That exile is now over, by the way. I'm totally committed to getting more stuff out there for you to read, even if it means no sleep for me. I'm all jazzed about getting back in the swing of writing. I'm probably going to go over a lot of stuff I stayed away from over the past week: Gannon/Guckert, Eason Jordan resigning and the budget. So I'll be up all night writing just for you nice people.

Sunday, February 13, 2005

What a downer

This story from WaPo is really depressing. It's all about the outlying years in a budget, and the outliers in Bush's budgets are years in which the deficit will balloon dramatically.

Bush's extensive tax cuts, the new Medicare prescription drug benefit and, if it passes, his plan to redesign Social Security all balloon in cost several years from now. His plan to partially privatize Social Security, for instance, would cost a total of $79.5 billion in the last two budgets that Bush will propose as president and an additional $675 billion in the five years that follow. New Medicare figures likewise show the cost almost twice as high as originally estimated, largely because it mushrooms long after the Bush presidency.
It's all thanks to GWB being an idiot. He may understand the process and how to get a budget passed in a Congress controlled by his party, but he does not understand numbers. He doesn't get that cuts here and tax breaks there are real numbers with consequences. And he really doesn't understand how to add 2 and 2 together. There is a silver lining, however. Some congressional Republicans are starting to understand that Bush is a dimwit who's just pushing the costs off to the next guy (like he did in Texas). They will fudge around the Medicare bill to cut the costs, even though he's threatened to veto any changes, and Social Security phase-out will be DOA in the Senate because Dems will fillibuster if they have to. The real silver lining is this, though:
"I think some adjustments need to be made," said Don Nickles, the recently retired Republican chairman of the Senate Budget Committee. Nickles said the drug law will need to be reopened to address problems of skyrocketing costs. He also said that Congress will have to be selective in extending the tax cuts, dropping some of the cuts and perhaps modifying the estate tax repeal to keep some of the revenue.
That is a voice of sanity in the GOP... someone we can work with. So, things are not as bleak as they may look. We've got some people who actully want to do the peope's business in Washington, not give money to lobbyists so they can get a job in a few years.

Friday, February 11, 2005

Look what happens

I decide to take a little time off from blogging here and look what happens. North Korea has declared it has nuclear weapons, the president's poll numbers are down, the whole Gannon/Guckert thing comes to a head (no pun intended) with Scott McClellan admitting that he knew "Jeff Gannon" was not his real name but he called him "Jeff" anyway and the mayor of Waco is dead. This really proves that you cannot close your eyes for one minute. I was saddened to learn of Mayor Mae Jackson's death today. She was Waco's first popularly elected black mayor and she was a reformer with results. Though our city council system makes it an almost powerless position, she used her office to fight for better water quality downstream from large-scale dairy farmers. She was a nice lady who will be sorely missed. Arthur Miller died today, too. I'm wondering who the other two celebrities will be. They aways die in threes. I know it's bad to say, but I'm kinda hoping Paris Hilton is on that list. The North Koreans... what to say about them. Little Kim is one crazy mother and I don't think they would shy away from using them if they felt they had to. Somehow, putting them on a list where we've already invaded one of the countries and put boots on the ground to gather intelligence on another doesn't help. That list was three countries long and two are at least semi-engaged in. They gotta be wondering if they are next. In this kind of position, I would probably cave and go into bilateral negotiations. If the chief worry against doing that is that that's exactly what they want, them I say give it to them. They have nuclear weapons! They kinda get to ask for things now. Our job should be to do everything possible to get those weapons into our hands. The Press Secretary all but admitted complicity in some elaborate charade with Guckert. If you lay out the facts about a story and it sounds like some whackjob conspiracy theory, then maybe, just maybe, it's a conspiracy. I'm almost positive that Sen. Lautenberg is going to start an inquiry into this, but with the news cycle jumping back and forth between our train wreck of a foreign policy and the train wreck Bush wants to make of our domestic policy, I don't think this is going to get as much play as Lautenberg wants or that it indeed should get. My writing energies are being to put to other uses lately. Like I said, I think you'll like what I've been working on. It's not exactly new, but it will be in a field by itself. I can't wait to tell you more about it, but that will have to wait. I'll keep writing here every now and again, but most of my stuff will be over at Burnt Orange Report or Texas Blogs, or maybe even Poltical State Report. See you when I see you.

Wednesday, February 09, 2005

Not a lot of time

I'm so busy that I didn't even get to celebrate Mardi Gras yesterday. So tonight, I'm doing one of those big, multi-link posts with little or no comment from me. Just keeping you guys up-to-date. Once it is done, I really think you guys will like the project I am working on for the Trib, but perhaps I've said too much. Jeff Gannon, or whatever the hell his real name is, resigns from Talon News. Not that big a deal since Talon isn't a real news agency, just a front for GOPAC. Still wondering if he's the gay porn site guy, I'll have to read more. Brit Hume is a hack and he's deliberately misquoting people (FDR no less) to make hay that privatization is good and was originally intended to happen. When I read that transcript, I literally tasted vomit. This is beyond sickening. Oh yeah, Lasso reports that the health benefit cuts of 2003 may actually have cost taxpayers more. Only Republicans can do this sort of thing: cut spending and increase taxes ex poste facto. And amazingly enough, HRC's numbers are looking really good. She looks like the fait accompli (I'm doing a Latin thing today) nominee in 2008, though we've already got three others for sure, and possible Kerry and Biden runs. Where's my guy Feingold, though? He's the ship I want to sail on. That ought to catch you up a little. I'm back to work now.

Tuesday, February 08, 2005

Don't get fooled

This is just the same crap, different name. All courtesy of David Brooks.

So, if I'm understanding this correctly, we'd create private accounts for people and stick a little money in them, then we'd slash Social Security benefits. Finally, we'd allow people to divert their payroll taxes into their private accounts. Now, except for the fact that the government started off by putting some money into people's personal accounts, I'm not sure how this is different than the current White House proposal, which skips right to steps two and three (cutting benefits and allowing people to divert money into private accounts).
Left Coaster put me onto this "Kidsave" initiative.

Someone doesn't know the price of milk

Gee Mr. President, I wonder why she has three jobs:

MS. MORNIN: That's good, because I work three jobs and I feel like I contribute. THE PRESIDENT: You work three jobs? MS. MORNIN: Three jobs, yes. THE PRESIDENT: Uniquely American, isn't it? I mean, that is fantastic that you're doing that. (Applause.) Get any sleep? (Laughter.)
A Republican would say it is great that she has the ability to work three jobs. A Democrat would say it is bad sign that she works three jobs and is still probably below the poverty line.

Free speech isn't free

Monday a judge dismissed the case against a group of anti-abortion protestors in violation of a Waco city ordinance regulating protests and parades in school zones at certain times. Personally, I don't see why he threw out the case, they were clearly in violation of the ordinance. If the dismissal is challenged and a higher court rules the ordinance unconstitutional, that's another matter. There are definitely some free speech issues involved. But the ordinance itself, though murky, seems clearly to intend to protect the children at the nearby Montessori school. Preschoolers should not have to view obscene material, like graphic depictions of dismembered fetuses. But people have the right to protest. Somewhere, there has to be a distinction between protesting and actively trying to hold up business at Planned Parenthood and trying to frighten little children with obscene material. I'm afraid this ruling is going to embolden activists to do the latter. A federal judge handed down a different ruling last summer against the protesters' charge of violation of 1st Amendments rights. He said:

In the final section of his Jan. 14 order, after citing precedents backing the city's right to pass a zoning ordinance to protect school children, Nowlin denied the plaintiffs' claim that the ordinance crushed protesters' right to free speech. "So it appears that the good people of Waco really are just trying to protect themselves and their children after all," he wrote. "And the First Amendment looks no worse for wear to boot. As for the plaintiffs, well, there is a great big world out there filled with scores of non-school zone abortion clinics. If that doesn't have all the makings for a fine family summer vacation, well then...." The judge then concluded with, "It is so ordered," then signed the document.
I tend to agree with Judge Nowlin, a city has a right to protect itself from certain things. I think the line is drawn well before we start saying we shouldn't have access to adult materials, but I wouldn't think that an ordinance that prohibited the sale of adult materials in front of an elementary school violated the 1st Amendment. Oddly enough I side with the federal judge instead of the county judge on this issue. Go figure.

I'm so far behind

I'm so far behind in my posting, it's not even funny. I've been very busy, so I haven't watched Sunday's Meet the Press. I've also got tons of other things going on at work, so yu can imagine that blogging, where I don't get paid is a little low on the totem pole.

Monday, February 07, 2005

Budget priorities

I've been checking through the proposed FY 2006 Budget, and "hoax" does not begin to describe it. Hundreds of billions of dollars have been left out of the equation for his spending initiatives, and all of the cuts are on the domestic side. History shows that very few programs will get cut, but this is the golden oppurtunity to show just how much the GOP doesn't care about anyone but the super rich and their tax cuts. The proposed cuts total around $20 billion, which doesn't draw spit in the projected $400 billion deficit. The tax cuts he passed in 2001, 2002 and 2003 make up about 50% of the deficit for the coming fiscal year. That's economic evidence, if ever there was any, that tax cuts aren't fiscally responsible. I had a caller at work earlier today (don't ask why he called a newspaper) who wanted to know how much the Legal Services Corporation's budget was being reduced. They offer free legal advice to indigent and disabled and poor people, by the way. I couldn't find it in my cursory examination, but anyone who finds me last year's budget and this year's budget will get free ice cream from me. I'm either going to be reading the budget, the proposals on Social Security phasing out or watching the West Wing the rest of the night. So don't expect a lot of posting. But I'll try to sneek something in.

I'm always the last to know

Talmidge Heflin withdrew his challenge to Hubert Vo's election late last night after a report recommended the case be dismissed. It took long enough, but Heflin was proved to be a liar with his charges of voter fraud on the Democrats' side. Hopefully, some of the things that turned up, like possible election tampering by the Republicans, will now be investigated. But it's a good day, and congratulations Mr. Vo.

Sunday, February 06, 2005

Pats win, baby!

The New England Patriots have won their third Super Bowl in 4 years and Coach Bill Bellichick joins the elite coaches who have wom three Super Bowls by stopping Philadelphia, 24-21. The worst thing, though, is that some jackass was calling my cell phone asking me what my fucking number was so I missed the inereception that allowed NE to run out the clock. I swear, there should be a law that you have to pass an IQ test or your fucking brains get blown out in this country. Too many stupid people!!! And they make life harder for the rest of us. Back to football. I didn't watch a lot of the game because I was off reading other blogs or doing actual work. But I really wanted to see those last two minutes. Ah!!

Can you believe it?

Here it is, Super Bowl Sunday, and I'm at work. Granted, I work at the sports desk of the local paper and I'm not missing it or anything, but still. Principles and whatnot. The one saving grace is that every other sport has already finished today so they can watch the Super Bowl, too. I'll be finished with everything but the agate for the game by halftime. That means goofing off and blogging. Not really, but it could mean that. I have no financial stake in today's outcome, but I am hoping that the Pats pull off another win. If I can't have my Cowboys at the game, then New England is the next best thing. I inadvertantly took yesterday off from writing. I went with friends to the opening of the new Cheddars restaurant. That place is very chic. It made us feel like we were in some hip metropolitan city, like Dallas or San Antonio. The food was excellent, it was the best Philly Cheesesteak sandwich I ever had (and I'm aware that they are from Philadelphia, the same as the Eagles). I also had a great glass of Chivas scotch. It was exactly 12-years-old, and it was smooth. Never drink anything less than 12 people. By the time I got home, I wanted to watch my Nero Wolfe mysteries and Sherlock Holmes mysteries, which I DVRed. By the time I was done with that, I wanted to finish reading a book I started last Sunday but hadn't gotten around to all week. In the Best Families by Rex Stout, if you're interested. I've also been kicking a few ideas around in my head. One on how to beat the Republicans at the Social Security debate and the other about the next governor of Texas. I also decided last night that I could be an Olympic athlete. The bookmark I was using was a quote from Jonathon Swift: "Live everyday of your life". So I decided that I am now in training to compete in the 2012 Olympics in fencing. My first step is getting over my largesse and into shape, then joining the local fencing club and training. Then I'll compete as often as possible in my spare time and work my way up to the Olympics. I have excellent reflexes and I think if I put my mind to it, it won't be that hard. I might as well try anyway. As I read tonight, I'll produce more commentary, so don't you fret none.

Saturday, February 05, 2005

Seperation of Church and State

Occassionally, The Nation has a really good piece that I want to link to. It's usually not something Katrina vanden Huevel is associated with, but that is because of my own personal war against her and her horrible job of representing my party and beliefs. This time, it's Brooke Allen who gets the nod from me. He has this terrific article on the religious attitudes of the Founding Fathers. I get sick of hearing from really stupid people in my area who want to call this a "Christian nation". They go at it ad nauseum and they fervently believe that this country was founded simply to be the kingdom of Jesus Christ. I have to start out by saying that I am a Christian, but I cannot stomach it when these people get facts of history so very wrong just because of their own stupidity. This bit from the Treaty of Tripoli, I think, says it all.

As the Government of the United States...is not in any sense founded on the Christian religion--as it has in itself no character of enmity against the laws, religion, or tranquillity of Musselmen--and as the said States never have entered into any war or act of hostility against any Mehomitan nation, it is declared by the parties that no pretext arising from religious opinions shall ever produce an interruption of the harmony existing between the two countries.
You read that and it is pretty plain to me that this was NOT founded as a Christian nation. The facts are self-evident, but some people want to force their religious beliefs on other people. So they concoct their own version of reality where these great men with vision and foresight who founded this country were as petty, small and narrow-minded as they are. That pisses me off. The piece goes on for about three pages and describes the religious faiths that most of the founders had, including Franklin, Jefferson and Tom Paine's deism. Great stuff, and informative, too.

Friday, February 04, 2005

I think I've calmed down

I think I've gotten passed the anger phase after seeing the video of Bush giving Joe Lieberman a kiss after the SOTU. Now, I kind of look at it more of a "You broke my heart" kiss of death thing. But still, does Lieberman have to cave to every Republican vote? I just don't understand why Joe Lieberman agrees and votes with the GOP so much. I'm also still waiting for anyone to offer an explanation as to why Bush kissed him.

Midwinter cleaning

I decided to add a few more blogs to the links section on the right. Jim D, one of the writers at Burnt Orange Report, now has his own blog, Texas Yojimbo. I added Off the Kuff and Texas Blogs,a s well. Kuff is required daily reading for me, and Texas Blogs is a group of Texas bloggers (duh, Nate) which I just joined. I just hope I don't spread myself too thin writing in other places. And there is also a new DeLay Watch from the District blog. You can never keep too close an eye on that sleazeball. So enjoy expanded reading, eventually I will expand the blogroll here to include everything I read everyday, but that could take some time.

Frustrating mess

I don't know how people are supposed to make an educated decision when reporters can't even get facts straight in the Social Security debate. According to Media Matters, several reporters are claiming that private accounts will help solve the long-term debt. I'd like to know in what fucking universe taking money out of a system puts more in. When does 2-2 equal 4? When it does, then you will be right, jackasses. Because of the worst bias in journalism, laziness, we might end up with a screwed up retirement system that thrusts millions into poverty. It's frustrating dealing witht that kind of stupidity. Get your act together. If you're a journalist (and I use that term loosely with Dana Bash and Carl Cameron) then you can't say that private accounts will offer 10 times the current rate of return. That would be 30% blondy. If stocks offered 30% rate of return, don't you think we would all be doing really well right now? If the economy was productive enough to give us the 6.5% rate that the White House advertizes, then they're isn't even a shortfall in the current system and no need to "reform" anything. I'm really pissed at Brian Williams. He should know better than these other clowns on calble, but he stood ther while John McCain said that the "Trust Fund will be exhausted" in 2018. That's a total piece of crap. We don't even start redeeming the bonds inthe Trust Fund until 2018, so that would be a neat trick. Over the course of the last year, I've really lost a lot of respect for John McCain. When he runs in the 2008 primary I really hope he gets his ass kicked. If he makes it through to the general, I will make it my mission in life to make his political life a living hell.

A swift kick in the balls

Oohh! The manager of the world's largest bond fund, Pimco, has this to say about the plan to gut Social Security.

Gross, managing director at Pimco, called the argument about the solvency of Social Security "silly" and said it was an example of the president not focusing on more important issues, such as the budget deficit.
Ouch!! Even the guys who would get a windfall aren't buying this lemon. This story is full of really good Gross quotes, like:
The president's argument for individual Social Security accounts is meant "to promote an agenda that has little to do with seniors and more to do with Bush, his ownership society, and ultimately his domestic legacy alongside the likes of Ronald Reagan and FDR," Gross wrote in comments posted on Pimco's Web site.

"Without a blockbuster of a program in his second term it is unlikely that Bush can go very far in the history books on the back of a paltry 3 or 4 percentage point tax cut for the rich," Gross wrote.

"Presto!" he continued. "We now have partial privatization of Social Security heading the agenda upon which the president intends to spend his well-advertised political capital.

Gross also goes on to talk about the demographic problem and how we should focus more on cutting the deficit so that their is increased production and money available to seniors here. When everybody is telling you this is a bad idea, you might want to listen, Mr. Bush.

Simon says

Simon Rosenberg has backed out of the DNC chair race, leaving only Gov. Dean (who already has enough endorsements to get the 224 votes needed to win) and Donnie Fowler. It really is inevitable now. Simons' statement can be read here at Blog for America.

If this is any clue

If this is any clue of how complicated and obfuscating Bush's plan is, it has taken the Washington Post two days and three stories to get the figures worked out for his privatization scheme. It really is that complicated. Here's a quick bit of math to explain how this system works.

If a worker set aside $1,000 a year for 43 years, and earned 4.6 percent annually on investments, the account would grow to $221,552 in today's dollars. That money would be the worker's upon retirement and would probably be paid out in increments of $15,952 a year, according to calculations by the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities, a liberal advocacy group. A White House calculation showed a smaller payout.

But guaranteed benefits over the worker's lifetime would be reduced by approximately $151,990 -- the amount the worker would have contributed to Social Security but instead contributed to his personal account, plus 3 percent interest above inflation. The remainder, $69,562, would be the increase in benefit the worker would receive over his lifetime above the level he would have received if he stayed in the traditional system. That sum -- expressed as an annual payout -- would total $5,008.

But that benefit gain could be substantially smaller. The Congressional Budget Office, Capitol Hill's official scorekeeper, factors out stock market risks to assume a 3.3 percent rate of return and then subtracts 0.3 percent for expected administrative costs on the account. Under that scenario, the full amount in a worker's account would be reduced dollar for dollar from his Social Security checks, for a net gain of zero.

If investments earned less than 3 percent a year above inflation, a worker would do worse in total benefits than he would have done in the traditional system.

Remember that there is no guarantee that your investments will earn above 3%, either. Wen it comes to the market, there is no guarantee that you will earn anything.

There is also a bit of obfuscation from Scotty boy early on. He says "Individuals get to keep everything they set aside in personal accounts, plus the increased rate of return they'll realize on their investment," White House spokesman Scott McClellan said. "So to suggest otherwise is wrong. It is the individual's account, and the government cannot touch it." That is total bullshit because the government is the one administering the account and they'll cut the checks for the annuity. The government will be pretty much the only one to touch the account.

One of FDR's principles for what Social Security should be is that it remain simple. Bush has already lost the first round battling against him.

There are still a lot of unanswered questions, though. Like why do we want a regressive system that will allow rich people to get more money out of the system than those who work the hardest? Or what about survivor and disabled benefits? That is 30% of what is paid out by Social Security, where is that money going to come from? Bush won't say.

Thursday, February 03, 2005

It's a bad deal

I have to link a rather good overall story at CNN.com on the proposal for Social Security offered by Bush. It points out

Without changes, the trust fund is projected to last until 2042, according to Social Security's actuaries. The CBO puts that date at 2052. After the trust fund is empty, payroll tax revenue would cover 73 percent to 81 percent of benefits under the current method of increases, according to estimates from both Social Security and the CBO. The CBO noted that because of those expected benefit increases, the benefits would still be higher in current dollars than what today's retirees are getting.
I wish they would have also noted the chart Kevin Drum has at Political Animal which predicts that Plan 2 brings in $9,000 less than promised benefits before 2052, and $3,600 less after Bush says Social Security goes "bankrupt". That's some bankruptcy, because it is still more money than you are likely to get from stock investment and price-indexing. This new plan is even more complicated and requires cutting benefits by what you earn in your account, plus interest, plus more cuts to cover the original shortfall. It cannot be stated enough, this is a bad plan with problems for everybody.

What the fuck?!?!?!

I don't have any choice but use expletives here. Someone please tell me that was not Bush grabbing Lieberman's head and giving him a kiss. Greg, he's your guy, explain this to me and I don't want to hear anything about hands reaching across the aisle in a bipartisan manner. That's a fucking kiss the day before Joe vote yea on Gonzales. It better be something along the lines of "Joementum sleeps with the fishes". I keep giving Joe another chance and he keeps pissing me off; why is that?

I didn't think it was possible

I didn't think it was possible, but Bush actually took a bad idea and made it worse with his proposed privatization scheme. I don't see any Republicans in seats that will be in play coming to defend this. And no Democrat is really looking at it seriously. I mean, $4.5 trillion to cover a shortfall of $3.5 trillion and you still get your benefits cut by 30% or more when you retire. Fuck voodoo, this is just bat-shit insane economics. So I still have to wonder why the hell Bush and the Gang are still going full-steam ahead with this. Is he that full of himself and hubris that he thinks that the popular will of the people don't matter in a democracy? Or that he's supposed to make the economy better? I don't get it. Jesse's written some stuff on the plan and the comments are funny and snarky.

Must-read blogging on Social Security

This post at MyDD explains why this whole Social Security thing is just a ruse to pay for tax cuts for the rich. Read this:

Even more curiously, a "senior administration official" who briefed reporters on the Social Security proposal earlier today disclosed details of the White House plan that I don't think will play well in Peoria. Most significantly, this official revealed that most or all of the earnings from new "personal" or privatized accounts will be paid not to the holder of the account, but to the government. The senior official called this a "benefit offset." It's one way to finance the creation of these private accounts, but it's going to cause quite a political stir, I think.
So the money made in these accounts goes to the government to pay for the program, and then the government gives you they money they think you ought to have earned. Benefit offset indeed. Also, this Washington Post story explains that you would need to earn bettter than 3% rate of return above inflation to even have a benefit from doing this plan. With the restrictions on where your money can be invested, you're certainly not going to get the 6.5-7% that privatizers have been forecasting. You'll be lucky to get less money than you would have anyway, and you don't even get the money, the government does. Then the government gives you some money. Ownership society my ass. And with all the money being taken out of the program to fund these private accounts, traditional Social Security will be so destabilized that even those of us who are smart enough not to opt-in are going to have to pay. This isn't Social Security, this is a suicide pact and Bush is that crazy preacher guy from Poltergeist II.

Not your everyday Iraqi voter

If this is true (which I'm certain it is) then I'm just... disgusted. There is no other way to look at it. It is morally repugnant to try and pull this kind of crap. The Iraqi voter, Safia Taleb Al Souhail, featured so prominently in last night's SOTU turns out to be an associate of right-wing types like Newt Gingrich and the new Iraqi ambassador to Egypt. She also knows several PNAC-types through her work for the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies. She's not an everyday citizen, she's a political elitist with ties to the people who pushed for this war. And that's what made that hug even more sickening. That Byron Norwood's mom lost her son and then hugged that woman without knowing who she really was. I feel really bad for her.

Torture BAD!!!

Unbelievably, a near unanimous bloc of Senate Democrats voted against the confirmation of Alberto Gonzales. While a little less than I had hoped for, 36 is not bad; especially when you realize thatmany red-staters joined in the fight.

Evan Bayh (D-IN) Jeff Bingaman (D-NM) Robery Byrd (D-WV) Byron Dorgan (D-ND) Tom Harkin (D-IA) Tim Johnson (D-SD) Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) Harry Reid (D-NV) Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) Not present (fighting off Bush misinformation in their home states) Max Baucus (D-MT) Kent Conrad (D-ND)
What's really distressing are those who voted for Gonzales from our side of the aisle. They include:
(1) Senator Ken Salazar (Colorado). (2) Senator Joseph Lieberman (Conn.). (3) Senator Ben Nelson (Neb.). (4) Senator Mary Landrieu (La.) (5) Senator Pryor (Ark). (6) Senator Bill Nelson (Fla.)
And I was just starting to like Lieberman for his stand on supporting Social Security and his really funny jokes on The Daily Show after the Inauguration. Now I have to start a blood feud with him...again!

True journalism at work

Now this is how you report on privatizing Social Security. Kudos to BusinessWeek Online. With that, I'm off to watch all of the shows I missed while I was at work (except the new episode of West Wing. Damned SOTU!).

Something that's been overlooked

The Fed bumped up interest rates today. If we continue to borrow heavily (like a trillion dollars perhaps) that's going to put even more upward pressure on those interest rates slowing down borrowing and the economy as a whole. Just one more reason why privatization won't work.

Some details about privatizing

The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities has a helpful little cheat sheet based on what a "senior Administration official" presented as the bare-bones of the Bush plan to gut Social Security. Some of the things mentioned

  • The private accounts have a net-neutral effect on the solvency debate. This is actually misleading in itself because to fund the private accounts 4% of the 12.4% of payroll taxes, or roughly 1/3, would be diverted. For every three dollars, one dollar goes away. That actually increases the shortfall in the system.
  • The $750 billion estimate that they give as added debt is low-balling it. For the first 10 years that the plan is in effect, 2009-18, we add $1 trillion dollars to the national debt. For the next 10 years after that, we add another $3.5 trillion in debt. That's $4.5 trillion in debt over 20 years. To the extent that there is a shortfall in Social Security, it would actually be cheaper to just borrow money and pay it off over the next 75 years than to do this God-awful plan.
  • And for all the talk about "bankruptcy" the administration won't even speculate as to how to restore solvency. Bush said a lot of things were on the table, like raising the retirement age and means-testing for benefits. But none of that is politically viable. The only way they can do it is to cut benefits. First they'll have to cut benefits to cover the shortfall, then cut benefits some more since they are diverting a third of the money out of the system.
All told, this is a really crappy plan facing near universal opposition except from his lackeys. I really don't see how he can possibly get this through Congress in its present incarnation.

On the docket today

As we knew beforehand, Social Security dismantling was the key part of Bush's speech last night. I don't know how he could keep a straight face when he said "We have to save Social Security" then went on talking about those stupid private accounts. Truly, a bullshit artist was at work. I'm a little disappointed at the Post story about this. They use the phrase "personal accounts" and they don't really get forceful about the fact that the system will never be able to go bankrupt. They simply say

Bush's plan to restructure Social Security faces near-unanimous opposition from congressional Democrats, who see the program as one of their party's most enduring legislative legacies and do not believe it is facing the dire crisis depicted by the president. When Bush asserted that the program was "headed to bankruptcy" by 2042, many Democrats in the chamber responded with loud catcalls.
There is a Trustee report and a Congressional Budget Office report that say the program is just fine and will still pay out higher benefits after the Trust Fund is exhausted than you can earn from private accounts and price-indexing. Fletcher and Baker couldn't be bothered to point that out, though. After all, that's not needed information to see if the president might be lying to the American people... again! I'm very disappointed in the way this is being reported. I guess I should wait until I've seen more on this, but it's not looking too good. This is the kind of publicity he needs as he starts his Bullshit '05 Tour today.

Wednesday, February 02, 2005

Woweee!

Before I begin doing some more in-depth stuff, I want to thank everybody who came by tonight. You put up with me not at my best with a ton more work to do than I would have. Thanks for coming by.

For a fact-check

The Stakeholder is a good place for some fact-checking on tonight's SOTU. All I was able to provide through the haze that is National Signing Day was a lot of snark.

The State of the Union

Here we go 7:57: Lots of applauding so far 8:00: The man of the hour (or two) 8:00: Settle down class 8:01: From where I am, Laura didn't look to enthusiastic in her clapping. Someone should alert the Secret Service 8:02: Wow, right off the bat with the economy. Did he just say "prostituted" corporate criminals? 8:11: "Cut the deficit in hald by 2009", now that'll be a neat trick 8:12: "Do you people really need to go the doctor? Cuz I'm cutting your Medicaid" Imagine a really bad Bush impersonation with that. 8:13: I thought I just saw a smirk. Take a drink. 8:14: The sound of the one aisle clapping 8:18: Got sidetracked with basketball 8:20: Somehow? We call it the Trust Fund, Mr. President. And he just told a big fib "In 2042 the entire system will be bankrupt." No, no, no, sir. The trust fund won't have any money, but the system will be far from bankrupt. 8:24: I was hoping he was going to slip and say "private accounts", Oh well. So benefit cuts aren't off the table, I'm sure everyone will like that. 8:25: With all those government guidelines, you'd think that maybe you didn't own these "Personal" accounts. 8:29: Mrs. Christopher Reeve looked really pissed to me. 8:31: A three-year initiative to keep people out of gangs? 8:33: DNA evidence, too? I think they were just trying to find stuff to artificially inflate the speech. He's already out of ideas. 8:36: He's got some cajones. He actually said "weapons of mass destruction" in another SOTU 8:37: He said "nukular" take a drink, bitches 8:40: "Because democracies respect their citizens and their neightbors..." except Mexico. Mexico is our bitch. 8:42: At least he's not being too objectionable. He's all for a two-state solution to Israel-Palestine conflict. 8:44: Spoke too soon. He's on about Syria now. This seems really familiar. 8:45: "We're fighting terrorists in Iraq so we don't have to fight them here." Unless the get on a plane, but they would never think of that. 8:50: He is dwelling on Iraq more than I thought he would. I'm happy that the Iraqis got to vote. I'm sad that we've spent $240 billion dollars, and had 1,400 American GIs killed to do it. And the thousands of dead Iraqi civilians. And whoever died from Poland; we can't forget about Poland. 8:54: I think he's winding down now. He's talking about the troops. 8:56: WTF? 9:01: That last bit sounded more like Gerson. By the way, I'm sure FDR is now rolling over in his grave. More after a short break.

Soon now, very soon

The liveblogging begins in less than an hour. I've also got my DVR at home recording it, so anything I miss between runing from the TV and my desk can get covered later. I'm now a little nervous. I saw this trackback from the Burnt Orange post I made. It's not a very long list, so there is a chance a lot of people may be here tonight. If I wasn't at work, I'd probably be drinking. But I've got popcorn and soda, so I'll just have to make due. I'm also going to check out some of the other blogs mentioned there, especially the new CAP blog. That's really exciting. Stay tuned.

More winter

By the way, the damned groundhog predicts more cold weather. Thanks a lot, Punxsutawney Phil!

Tuesdays with Tucker Carlson: It's official

The press release announcing that Bow Tie Boy is now working for MSNBC came out today. Tucker will start doing work next week and his 9 p.m. (8 p.m. Central) show will air in the next few months. More at TVNewser.

Just noticed this

I was just checking out Pink Dome and she was super kind enough to add us to the blogroll on the right of her site. That's so sweet. Now only if everybody else would do the same, I get more than 5 hits a day.

Bonilla for Senate? UPDATED

Rep. Henry Bonilla, from Texas, is considering running for KBH's senate seat if she challenges Rick Perry in the GOP primary. I don't know if you remember Bonilla, but he was the guy Jon Stewart caught lying about the liberal rankings of Kerry and Edwards this summer. Remember that? Hmmm? Stewart spent five minutes getting him tangled up in talking about lawyer's groups ranking Kerry the No. 1 liberal senator and his crap about it being over their whole careers, then dropped the bomb on Bonilla that he knew that everything Bonilla had said for those past five minutes was bullshit. It was hilarious. I'll look for that video clip some time tonight after the phone calls have stopped. I hope it encourages KBH to run for governor knowing her seat will be safely in tehe hands of a GOP friend. I really want to see a three-way race in the GOP primary so that we get lower turnout among Republicans and cross-over votes for a moderate Democratic governor. I've got a few ideas as to who that could be, but it's still early yet. Then I want to see Bonilla get his ass handed to him in the general election when he does run for senator. Is that too much to ask? UPDATE: As promised, here is the video clip of Jon Stewart interviewing Rep. Henry Bonilla this summer. It's even more hilarious than I remember.

Drinking game for the SOTU

I came up with my own drinking game for tonight's State of the Union, but somebody went to a lot of trouble to come up with a really elaborate one. If only I wasn't going to be liveblogging from work.

It's official

Roemer is out and it looks like Rosenberg is out as well. The only person still challenging Dean is Fowler, which I don't think is a serious challenge. While not totally official, Dean is shy just a few more DNC votes to clinch, so it's all but over. We should now think about turning our attention to the reforms he's talked about the past two months and get started implementing them. One thing is going to be important to remember, though, the fight's over. We can all be Democrats again. There are no Deaniacs and Frost Democrats or New Democrats. Dean is going to be chair and I wouldn't be surprised to see Rosenberg helping build operations with him, so now we need to move past labels and start kicking GOP ass.

Tuesday, February 01, 2005

Too pooped to Pope

That's a really bad headline considering the cicumstances. Pope John Paul II has been hospitalized due to complications from the flu. The Catholic Contingent here at Common Sense is praying for his speedy recovery.

Before the onslaught begins

I just want to say that I plan on liveblogging the State of the Union tomorrow night from the newsroom. It's my understanding from watching Inside Politics today that half of the speech will be domestic policy and half foreign policy. I'm going to have to do a little homework on the foreign policy sections, and that isn't happening tonight since the stupid people have already begun calling asking if they really need to put winners before the losers in the final score. I swear, there is a conspiracy to just piss me off on Tuesdays and Fridays. Anyway, liveblogging. Be here. It'll be fun.

Doin' the math... again

Paul Krugman's columnm today basically hit the nail on the head. In order for privatizers to be right about the rate of return on investments in private accounts, the economy would grow much more than the conservative projections in the Trustees report of Social Security. If we apply the same economic assumptions to both, then there is no shortfall in Social Security and it is in the black indefinitely. I gotta make the point again, though, that even if we get super high rates of returns on privae accounts, it does absolutely nothing to help the solvency of the Social Security system. It will siphon money away from the system, exacerbating the problem as a matter of fact. So we'll pay $10 trillion over then next 60 years to get the private accounts, make huge cuts in benefits to the system, then spend trillions to bail out the system because of the money that was diverted into the private accounts. All this because there is a $3.7 trillion shortfall in the system over the next 75 years that would totally be covered by just rolling back the Bush tax cuts.

WTF? I really am in Bizarro World

This bit of Orwellian language control coming from Rick "Man on Dog Action" Santorum is, hmmm

For instance, the GOP has been pushing to move from describing the investment accounts as "private," preferring to use "personal," which they believe is less loaded politically. Similarly, Santorum said Friday he preferred to avoid calling costs associated with the creation of the accounts "transitional," favoring the use of "prepaying." A senior GOP Senate aide acknowledged that both of these semantic changes are part of the party's broader strategy to reframe the Social Security debate
Prepaying? We're going to prepay $10 trillion dollars over 60 years so that we don't have a $3.7 trillion shortfall in the system... which will get worse because private accounts take money out of the system. These guys have to be fucking kidding me. This is just some wacky dream, isn't it?

Celebrate good times!

Lots of developments in the DNC chair race. I mentioned yesterday that Wellington Webb had bowed out and endorsed Dean, today Martin Frost backed out, too. So the chief rival is out of the game, along with Leeland. The AFL-CIO isn't endorsing anybody, so with all the endorsements he's garnered and the support he may get from former Frost guys, it looks like Dean is going to be the next chairman of the DNC. His next big hurdles is going to be in getting past any late momentum by guys like Donnie Fowler. I'm not too worried though. And BOR has a rumor that Tim Roemer and Simon Rosenberg are giving up as well. I think these three will be in a race to the bottom to get out quickly so they can start currying favor with Dean for key positions inside. We'll wait to hear what goes on.

Monday, January 31, 2005

I've got BOR withdrawl

I got so used to writing at BOR over the holidays that I'm kinda going through withdrawl for not writing there recently. It's been like a week and daddy needs his medicine. But I don't have anything to write about, except the latest GOP Social Security plan. Hey! I could write about that, since Tom "Homophobic Dickhead is not a contradiction in terms" DeLay is apparently now fully behind it. I'll take the case!!!

I can't help but join the pile up

MyDD had a post this weekend about the DLC being on the fence on whether or not there is a crisis in SS. I'm frankly getting tired of jumping on them myself, but I'll link to the post because I think he makes some good points about where the DLC goes wrong. There is also a little bit about a Republican conference this weekend where they are talking about going forward with the privatization scheme. They are going to invent a new deadline for the "crisis", 2008. Kinda funny, because that is also the next presidential election year and there is no sitting prez or vp seeking the office. Rumor is the turning point of this meeting was Tom DeLay's speech that the GOP has a "moral obligation" to gut Social Security. Well, I have a moral obligation to keep Social Security solvent to protect millions of Americans from slime like Tom Delay.

Wow, sucks to be the Bush admin

A federal judge ruled today that indefinite detention under 'enemy combatant' status is unconstitutional. This reaffirms the SCOTUS ruling last year that said that the 5th Amendment applies to detainees and they can seek trials or be released. Since I've heard that some of those detainees were just swooped up three years ago, and that some have been tortured, this has got to be a sucky day for Bush and gang.

Speaking of Lasso

Bill Bishop is a great man. While I was drinking and playing pool with J and Space Monkey this weekend, he got this tip and wrote about what I wanted to write about since last week's presidential news conference. I totally got sidetracked on his Social Security comments so I didn't get to this, or the fake news guy who asked a totally ass-backwards question (how do they get credentials? Oh, they work there). Bill's right, Bush's response really dumbfounded me while I was watching it. I seem to remember Herman saying "no" and Bush saying "thank you", but that was a week ago. But it's an odd little exchange either way. Either he solved the problem by not going down in flames and there is no crisis now, or he did go down in flames and there is a crisis. It can't be that he was successful and there is still a crisis. So, I'm really confused. Is Bush really that oblivious to everything in the outside world? How can we work with someone so divorced from reality?

Inside the Lege

I usually read Lasso and Postcards from the Lege to find out the latest on what's going on in the Capitol, but I get to add a new one to the list: Pink Dome. Apparently it will be very Wonkette-ish (I can make up words if I wanna) which is definitely a plus. I will also think about spending some time updating my blogroll on the right so that you too can check in and see what the dealyo is. hat tip to Byron.

Developments in the DNC chair race

Former Denver mayor Wellington Webb has dropped out and endorsed Howard Dean. Dean's my guy and he's just plugging along and picking up endorsement after endorsement from groups within the DNC. Slow and steady wins the race.

Goodbyes are so sad

Because of weather and my own inability to get up before 3 p.m., I had to say my goodbyes to J on the phone today. It's sad, I made a new friend and lost her all in 2 weeks. But we got to know each other fairly well, and she's going to be my new pen pal while she's at boot camp. Hopefully, a really good friendship got started and I'll have one more person I can talk to when I need help in life. Plus, it gives me an excuse to find out gossip from our home town so we have stuff to talk about. I heard some things, wow. I girl I had a crush on in high school is apparently living in Kansas now. What the hell is in Kansas? There's some grass, no hills and one tree. Goodbyes are sad, but it means you get to say hello to an old friend later on.

Sunday, January 30, 2005

Funniest thing

I haven't been reading any blogs the past couple of days, but I was just reading Bloggerman and how much trouble Keith has had to put up with Dr, James Dobson's cult, Focus on the Family. I sympathize with him, I've gotten some weird emails in the past from people wondering why I want to kill babies and why I worship Satan. I don't want to kill babies and I don't worship Satan, but that is really beside the point. These are just some really crazy nutbags that really don't have anything better to do than hate gay people and elect Republicans. But even Republicans are weary of Dr. Strangelove Dobson now. They are starting to see how wacko these people really are and I don't think they're going to be looking for their support for very much longer if they want to stay in power. So this is my statement of support for Keith. Good job Keith on doing excellent and hilarious journalism. If only more journalists were willing to do stories like this and then endure the flack it causes. Great job on not backing down and sticking by work. You've also done a great job by covering this on your blog, just showing how great a tool it is in communicating with the masses.

Sunday morning wrap up

I just finished watching my usual array of Sunday morning talk shows from the DVR, not including Chris Matthews or Face the Nation. On This Week, Condi Rice was out spieling for the White House that things are great and democracy is on the march. I don't think she helped settle any fears that we are about to invade Iran, though. And Sen. Evan Bayh was on to talk about his vote to not confirm Rice. He also didn't convince anybody that he's not running for president in 2008 (I'm pretty sure he is). And Sen. John Kerry was on Meet the Press in his first post-election television interview. All I can say is why didn't he speak more like that on the campaign trail. He was nuanced and brief at the same time. He was also very clear and direct when the question required it. He gave very sensible answers and his position was middle of the road enough to win swing voters. Damnit! We coulda won! Everybody was all ecstatic about the Iraqi elections. Turnout is high in the Shia and Kurdish areas; in the Sunni areas, not so much. But we've got a contingency plan, change the results after the election. Leave it to the Republicans to think that changing results to an election is the solution to a problem. But I'm glad they are voting. I think it was done in a half-assed way by some really incompetent people in the White House, but I'm glad they are voting. What the results are remain to be seen, though.

Friday, January 28, 2005

What does it all mean?

Lots of us have been wondering ho win the hell evil super genius Karl Rove could have miscalculated so much as want to take on Social Security. Kevin Drum is one of those (so am I). It seemed pretty obvious from the get-go that there was not a lot of support for this train wreck, so why did they do it? Kevin's guess is as good as any, but it still seems like a big expense just to get some tax-free accounts passed. And the people that actually want to get rid of Social Security are the ones footing the bill. Bush will go around spending upteen million dollars telling people that SS is going bankrupt, then they aren't going to do anything to fix it, just get some 401k plans for some rich people? That seems like it is a big waste of time for something they were calculating Democrats would agree with anyway. Why not just come and ask for legislation that establishes some private accounts up front? And why risk opening yourself up to criticism on the right? This is a recipe to be a lame duck if ever there was one, but it will get tax-free private accounts. It remains to be seen if there was any other motivation behind this push, though.

United we stand

I saw on C-SPAN2 when I was leaving for work that the Democratic Policy Committee held hearings today on Social Security and the long-term health of the system. What I watched showed a very united Democratic party intent on preserving one of the cornerstones of American retirement savings. Needless to say, I was very happy about that. I'm obviously not watching it now, but I am DVRing it and I'll parse some of the testimony later on in the morning or something. I'm interested in seeing how the guy from the CATO Institute is going to be in enemy territory. I bet he's going to be trying to pass off "personal accounts" even though everyone else, including Mr. Alpfe the guy who was head of the SSA from 1997-2001, is using the phrases "privatization" and "private accounts."

Social commitments

I'm sorry I haven't posted since Wednesday. To catch you up, my friend JJ left for the Navy this week. We had a party for him last Saturday, family and finger foods. It turns out that a friend from high school (my 6th Grade math teacher's daughter) is also joining and shipping out soon and she hung out with us after the party. We went to see The Grudge. Anyway, Space Monkey and I took her out for a night on the town last night to send her off right. J (we've talked about the name thing before). Dinner at Johnny Carino's and pool at Cricket's. We ran up a pretty big tab then left because Space Monkey had class this morning. J and I went back to my house because I'm a raging alcoholic with a full bar. We had a couple more drinks and watched Jay and Silent Bob Strike Back which I recorded on DVR. We got tipsy and fell asleep early and we just spent all day today sleeping and talking. J is cool people, and if she wasn't shipping out Monday, she would so be JJ's replacement in our group. But the search is still on for that person (we'll be holding auditions soon) and I'm taking off work Sunday so J can come over and drink with me again. I might try to borrow Napolean Dynamite (which I bought JJ for his going away present) from JJ's mom and we'll watch that while I mix margaritas. It's very hard for me to find people I can stand to be around for long periods of time, and J is one of them. We're going to have to be pen pals or something.

Wednesday, January 26, 2005

Whohoo!

We've reached a milestone here at Common Sense; if you look down at the right you'll see that we've passed 3,000 unique hits. Granted, the site counter has only been up since like July, so there is really no way for me to know how many visitors we've actually had. But I feel pretty good about where we are now. I'm happy to see that traffic has picked up a little since I started guesting at BOR. I hope any BOR readers who come here enjoy the decor. The rug really ties the room together.

Funny stuff

This is a really funny post over at dKos. Just go there and read it, you will crack up. Sen. Rick "man on dog sex" Santorum is my favorite senator after all.

Social Security choice

That retard Luskin has a site called SocialSecrityChoice.com. His latest post, he hacks his way through an argument that since black people, on average, die at an earlier age (the average life expectancy for a black male in America is 54) that private accounts are the solution that will allow them to have more money at an earlier age. How does he do this? With a light bulb analogy! This is one of those things you have to scratch your head and go, huh. It's like NASA spending millions to develop a pen that can write in space, but the Russians used a pencil (that story is misleading, we used a pencil, too. But a pen that writes upside down is available and is called the Space Pen). How about we do something to take assault weapons out of the hands of civilians so that so many young black men don't get shot and live longer? How about we do something that help more families raise their kids above the poverty level so that they have a chance at a better future? How about we take AIDS prevention and treatment seriously? Those are all leading causes of death and violence for black people in this country. Let's actually fight the disease instead of one of many problems that black people face in this country.

Oops! I was only off by a couple of decades

I just came across this at Josh Marshall's place. To be fair, Social Security did almost go bankrupt in 1982... but we kinda fixed it so I wouldn't worry. Greenspan even took into account how many people would be paying into the system when they came up with the Trust Fund fix. Bush is pretending like it was something we just realized last week. I asked one of my friends what they thought he said in 1978 and my friend's quote: "Whoa I'm totally wasted on blow right now. I'm about to take off in my '78 Gremlin with denim interior and go party." But SS didn't go bankrupt in 1988 and it's not going to go bankrupt anytime in the next 100 years. We might have less money starting in 2042 (or 2053), but that is still going to be more money than if we indexed to prices and started using private accounts, so I'm not seeing Bush's penchant for fuzzy math really working for him here.

'Do the Math'

The first of our posts on the president's news conference today is on doing math. He was asked a question abot Social Security that I will include in the quote, and he gave a long answer with many false assertions (read lies) to mislead people. I'll bold-face them so that they are easy to spot.

Q A question on Social Security, if we may, sir. There has been, as you move forward to making your plan -- your ultimate proposal, growing concern among Republicans on Capitol Hill. We had Chairman Thomas last week with some concern about the process, and Senator Olympia Snowe on the other side suggesting that she's concerned about an absentee guaranteed benefit -- excuse me. Are you prepared today to say that those who opt into a potential private account -- personal account could, in fact, have a guaranteed benefit, as well? And what do you say to Republicans who are beginning to worry? THE PRESIDENT: I am looking forward to working with both Republicans and Democrats to advance a plan that will permanently solve Social Security. There is -- I met yesterday with members of the United States Senate, I'm meeting today with members of the House of Representatives to discuss the need to work together to get a -- a solution that will fix the problem. And here's the problem: the -- as dictated by just math, there is -- the system will be in the red in 13 years, and in 2042 the system will be broke. That's because people are living longer, and the number of people paying into the Social Security trust is dwindling. And so, therefore, if you have a child -- how old is your child, Carl? Q Fourteen years old. THE PRESIDENT: Yes, 14. Well, if she were -- Q He, sir. THE PRESIDENT: He, excuse me. (Laughter.) I should have done the background check. (Laughter.) She will -- when she gets ready to -- when she's 50, the system will be broke, if my math is correct. In other words, if you have a child who is 25 years old, when that person gets -- gets near retirement, the system will be bankrupt. And therefore, it seems like to me -- and if we wait, the longer we wait, the more expensive the solution. So, therefore, now is the time to act.
I'm not even going to point out that he continued to say "she" after being corrected (oops, I just did). The system will NOT go bankrupt in 2042. The Trust Fund will have no more money in it in 2042 (or 2053 depending on which report you read). We kind of expected that, since we are going to quit paying into it in 2018. But he followed in a later question about Social Security with
Q Mr. President, on Social Security, you say the math clearly shows -- as you know, most of us became reporters because of our deep affection for math -- if the math clearly shows it, why are you having so much trouble on the Hill getting some to share your urgency? Do you think they're looking at the numbers differently, honestly, or are they running from the third rail? THE PRESIDENT: Glad to have you here. (Laughter.) I am going to continue to speak directly to the American people about this issue and remind them about the math; and remind them that if you're a senior, nothing changes; and speak to the younger folks coming up about the forecasts. I mean, if you're a 20-year-old person and you look at the math, you realize that you will inherit a bankrupt system, which means either there will be significant benefit cuts or significant payroll tax increases in order to fund that which the government has laid out for you as a part of your retirement.
Did you notice any key phrases? Yes, well, I've done the math and so have the CBO and the Trustees of Social Security, and they don't see a problem in their projections. On a really funny sidenote, Jesse over at Pandagon also did the math at the Heritage Foundation Web site. It tabulates earnings for traditional SS and with private accounts, usually showing that the private accounts will make us all millionaires. Jesse did some calculating and, because we're the same age, I can say that I'm already a millionaire using their calculations. Whoohoo, pass the champagne... oh wait, I'm not. Damnit. It seems to me those that actually do the math find that the numbers don't jive. That's probably because 2-2 doesn't equal 4. But I was never a C student at Yale,so who am I to criticize this man's ability to add numbers at a 5th Grade level.

In the Meantime...

Condi Rice was confirmed, 85-13. I got the list of nay votes from Greg:

Barbara Boxer, D-Calif. Robert Byrd, D-W.Va. Edward Kennedy, D-Mass. John Kerry, D-Mass. Carl Levin, D-Mich. James Jeffords, I-Vt. Jack Reed, D-R.I Mark Dayton, D-Minn. Daniel Akaka, D-Hawaii Evan Bayh, D-Ind. Frank Lautenberg, D-N.J. Tom Harkin, D-Iowa Richard Durbin, D-Ill.
That's 12 Democrats and 1 Independent. I'm sad to say that more Democrats didn't vote no and that Republicans held the line in the face of some pretty reasonable questions as to whether Rice deserved to be promoted after all her other catastrophic failures. I was also pissed to see the "other" senator from Arizona get up and start talking about what a great guy John Ashcroft is just to eat up time in the closing statements. Also because Ashcroft is a fucking weirdo who had his staffers rub him down with Crisco when he was sworn in as a senator... and his 0 for 5,000 terrorism conviction record. Come to think of it, there's nothing about Ashcroft I don't find creepy. Anyway, Rice will be our new Sect of State, leading to some pretty awkward moments in the negotiating room later down the line since everybody else in the world now knows she dropped the ball on Sept. 11th.

President Bush lays out agenda

Because I'm getting ready for work right now, I don't have time to go into a detailed post, but I just finished watching the news conference Bush had today in the press briefing room. Expect several posts tonight as I parse differnt sections from the transcript and look for other commentary. Here's a story on something I agreed with him on. Props go out when he says and does something right.

Tuesday, January 25, 2005

Darned high school basketball

I'm probably not going to be writing tonight, just because Tuesdays are just so sucky. The phone will be ringing off the hook with scores and I won't have the time I want to cover the Rice debate in the Senate. In fact, I'm reall tired because I've been up all day watching it on C-SPAN2. I think everyone is happy Sen. Evan Bayh (he's running for president, or didn't you know) made very principled argument against confirming her. He was followed by my own state's senator Kay Baily Hutchison. She actually went on and on about Rice's accomplishments in Eastern Europe and the former Societ republics after the Cold War. I don't see that as a plus, after all, Russia and it's satellites are the poster children for democratization gone awry. Kazhikstan is not a hot bed of democracy by any stretch of the imagination. And the old-style cold war thinking is exactly what got us into this mess in Iraq. We had a new enemy to fight in al Qaida, but people like Rice decided it would be easier to go blow up Soviet tanks in the desert. KBH just made the argument that much easier in voting no. Someone who's remarks I thought were exactly what were needed were Sen. Robert Byrd's. If I have time when I get home I'll update this post with a few choice quotes from his floor speech. But the point is that he quoted Rice and pointed out all the mistakes she's made since she became NSA and why that disqualifies her from being Sec. of State. The Democrats are more or less united in their opposition to her and Alberto Gonzales (it's not Antonio Katrina!). I think it has a lot to do with Sen. harry Reid's leadership in the Senate, so kudos to him for doing a great job. I'll probably have one more post tonight over at BOR about the DNC race. Unless something else comes up that is urgent and I can find the time to write, I'll see you all in the morning.

Token Social security post

Over at Pandagon, Jesse writes about an article on Social Security privatization (yeah I'm going to keep using that word. Frank Luntz can kiss my ass on saying 'personal accounts'). Luskin is just another in a long line of idiots who can't do high school math and, yet, are in charge of our economy. Don't tell the Chinese or they might stop buying Treasury bonds. Jesse does a great job of debunking his line that there is a $10.4 trillion shortfall in Social Security. We've talked about that before, any projection over infinity is totally meaningless. This letter in today's Waco Trib also irked me(emphasis added to show his stupidity).

Social Security options Various commentators are asserting that Social Security is financially sound and that full benefits can be paid for nearly 40 years without skipping a beat. They are grossly misreading a recent report released by the Congressional Budget Office. Yes, Social Security is supposed to continue paying benefits after 2018 by drawing on the Social Security Trust Fund. Just one problem: There is no trust fund. The surplus from payroll taxes is used to pay current retirees. The remainder is spent on other government spending – everything from paper clips to battleships. The government then writes itself an IOU for the amount spent. Those IOUs are what are commonly referred to as the trust fund. As President Clinton aptly noted in 1998, our options are 1) raise taxes, 2) cut benefits, or 3) get a higher rate of return through investment. To argue that a system that will begin running perpetual deficits in 2019 does not present a serious public policy problem until 2052 is misleading at a minimum and reckless in the extreme. At least in the Alliance for Retirement Prosperity, led by Jack Kemp, Dick Armey and Dorcas Hardy, we have one group trying to tell people the truth. Charlie Deputy Waco
Number one has to be that privatization will take even more money out of the system so it has a net negative effect on the health of Social Security. It's a solution that doesn't work to a problem that doesn't exist. Also, this person obviously hasn't read the CBO projections for Social Security health. It says that there very much is a Trust Fund. And if that Trust Fund is just a bunch of IOUs that will never be paid, then China and Japan and George W. Bush himself shouldn't expect to get paid, either. But they will, so says Sect. 4 of the 14th Amendment. If he wants to have a conversation about where the money comes from inside the General Fund to pay those bonds, that is a different matter. But insinuating that the government will renege on its promise to pay its debts is "reckless." This guy also doesn't understand how the system works, either. The surpluses in the system are used to buy those bonds and put them in the Trust Fund. With the General Fund in serious deficit, some money is taken from the Trust Fund and used to cover part of the debt. If we don't want that to happen anymore, we need fewer guys like Dick Armey, who did just that kind of thing as majority leader, not more. I'm going to let Josh Marshall field the totally out-of-context remarks about what Bill Clinton said in regard to privatization.

Monday, January 24, 2005

What's $80 billion between friends

ABC News is reporting that Bush is preparing to ask for another $80 billion in supplemental funding for Iraq. Considering that probably will not be in the soon to be released budget, you should read this Decembrist post on How To Read a Budget.

I'm being lazy and letting others do all the work

It's a lazy Monday for me, and I'm going to let Kuff fill you in on the latest in the Vo-Heflin dispute:

Andy Taylor, chief mouthpiece for Talmadge Heflin, was supposed to have a press conference this afternoon at 2:30 in which he would present irrefutable evidence that those nasty Democrats stole the HD149 election from poor ol' Talmadge. He's been saying that all along now (modulo the occasional backtrack), but as there's no news stories about this momentous event just yet, I can't say if he's finally come forth with something resembling evidence or not or if this is just more of the same. Consider this post a placeholder for now.

All about the DLC, baby

I just want to link to this MyDD post about the history of the DLC. As you probably noticed, I'm no fan of the DLC. As a Deaniac, I'm actually kind of in an ideological war with them. They believe that Democrats should be more free to take positions more to the right than I would like in order to win elections. I believe being right is more important and will win you elections in the long run. I look at the DLC as RNC-lite most of the time. There are plenty of examples of DLC-types trying to do what's best. I'm not going to get into some kind of demagoguery over it. But they waged war with Howard Dean because they felt he was too left and they backed Kerry, the safe candidate. Well, the safe cadidate didn't win, again. And we Deaniacs are tired of losing. We're going to take over things and do them our way now. With McCain-Feingold, the DLC fundraisers are going to be a thing of the past and the netroots Dean fundraising will be our bread and butter. So, it doesn't really matter what differences I have with the DLC. Pretty soon, they are going to be irrelevant anyway.

Statistics can be fun

Zogby has a new poll out today. My favorite graf (with emphasis added):

The poll finds a higher percentage of Americans saying that they are ashamed that Mr. Bush is their president; three-in-ten (31%) Americans now hold that view, as compared to one-in-four (26%) a month ago.  However, the survey did show an up-tick in Mr. Bush’s personal approval numbers.  In November, 55% said they approved of Mr. Bush personally; now, 57% say the same.
That is a stunning up-tick in just one month. The rest of the numbers are also pretty intersting, especially if one is looking for the mandate that Bush believes he has. I just don't see it. I see a schizophrenic country that re-elected him but wants everything done differently. If his first few months of re-election are any indication, he may leave office having had the highest (somewhere around 85%) approval ratings and the lowest (I'd guess down to 41%). Of course, Zogby and I made the same predictions for the electoral college, so I would take his numbers with a grain of salt.

Opposition research

Minority leader in the Senate, Sen. Harry Reid, laid out the priority bills that Democrats are going to push for in the 109th Congress; doing what an opposition party should do, lay out an ambitious agenda. This marks the change from defense to offense. With public opinion down from his unpopular Social Security scheme and his backtracking over the language used in his Inaugural Address, this could be what swings the balance back to favor the Democrats. We've got to play smart politics now, though. I'm hoping no one decides to fillibuster the Rice debate. We should have a debate and that was smart, but we should air out all of the things we know she's been responsible for. Someone should keep repeating that "Osama bin Laden Determined to Attack Inside the US" might mean that Osama bin Laden wanted to attack in the US. If we then vote against her as a party, we make it an issue of where the Republicans wanted to confirm even though she keeps screwing up. The same thing with Gonzales. Someone should read this Newsweek article out loud during his confirmation debate. I personally think we could do better. The last guy anointed himself with Crisco when he got the job and had a strange obsession with pornography. We've gone from that to someone who advocates torture and may have obstucted justice (not really) for George Bush's political expediancy. If we stand together as a party, then the story becomes the Republicans want these bad people in high office. That's what the story should be and we need to do all we can to foster that image. Sen. Reid has the right idea. Hat tip to BOR.

Cat scratch fever

Rick Perry vs. The World has a post on Comptroller Strayhorn's quest to become governor. This says it all:

The people of Texas are certainly asking her (Strayhorn) to run for Governor and she is listening. But the Comptroller never told Commissioner Combs she is not running for Comptroller again. And Commissioner Combs knows it.
Maybe Strayhorn is going to run for both. It seems to me that Grandma is going to run, she can't not run after all the anticipation she's built up in her criticisms of Gov. Goodhair. She should just announce and start campaigning. The whole "I haven't decided yet" thing gets old after a few months and she'll start to lose support if she keeps it up. On the flip side, I haven't heard much in the way of any Democrats gearing up for a gubernatorial run. I hear people talk about Tony Sanchez making another run and maybe former congressman Chris Bell, but I don't see either one coming out with that many votes at the end of the cycle. With a three-way primary run in the GOP, Democrats are poised to make huge gains if they nominate a candidate with great cross-over appeal. Sanchez doesn't even have Democratic appeal and Kinky Friedman will get more Republican votes than Chris Bell. He's still the guy who tried (and succeeded) to get ethics charges filed against DeLay while he was a lame-duck congressman. DeLay still holds some sway here in Texas and he controls a lot of the money; Bell will be dead in the water. So the search is on to find someone to carry our standard into the fight who can win with support from Democrats, Independents and moderate Republicans.

What a novel idea

In Lasso today, Bill Bishop writes that the superintendent of HISD has decided to "shift the focus of his schools from standardized test-taking to teaching." Hey, why hasn't anyone else thought of that before? I've got a lot of problems with the way Texas educates its children, particularly this obsession with standardized tests. This Chron article tells us that some students lose up to a month of instruction time to learning to pass the test. Te test is supposed to be an assessment of what students have learned in class Does anyone else see a vicious cycle, or a "circle jerk", in there? I would rather students were invested in by hiring good teachers with a decent salary to teach them the things they are going to need to know when they enter the real world; not getting educators to spend a month prepping kids on how to take a test.

Sunday, January 23, 2005

The credibility gap

My firm belief is that the only thing blogging lacks, really, is the credibility that exists for the mainstream media. If you read something in the NY Times you're going to take it as gospel; if you read something on a blog, you might take it with a grain of salt or dismiss it as political gossip. But this past year, the year of the blog, we've definitely seen a shift in that dynamic. Things like Rathergate have shown us that MSM isn't considered the bedrock of journalism anymore and that people will turn to whatever alternative media gets them the latest news the fastest. Blogs are just such an alternative. But a lot of the new credibility blogs have comes from linking to and referencing the mainstream media. So many of us in the Information Revolution, myself included, think that for both forms to survive, they must adapt and merge to become one new type of information gathering, processing, relaying journalistic animal. That many decided to talk about it this weekend. Harvard hosted the forum on "Blogging, Journalism and Credibility" Friday and Saturday with a host of professionals in the world of journalism discussing both facets in the Revolution. Conspicuously absent were some of the big names in blogging like Duncan Black, Jerome Armstrong and Josh Marshall. But, though it was more an academic excercise, they did discuss what I wanted them to discuss, the relationship between blogging and the mainstream. It was a whole weekend of events, so I'm not going to try and sum it all up in one post, but I will give you a few choice quotes that show how things may be changing in the near future:

Jeff Jarvis: Alex Jones says that one (unfortunate) lesson that mainstream journalism can teach blogging is that credibility is fragile and mainstream journalism has lost too much of it in recent years. : Jay Rosen is presenting his paper. He said the "war should be over between bloggers and journalists, the cartoon dialogue... Even though it makes for good feature stories and great blog posts, bloggers vs. journalists doesn't help us much." He said the tension between them will go on and its necessary and inevitable. But the tsunami story makes it "obvious that blogs have a role in journalism." Jay recalls his first Bloggercon when Len Apcar, editor of NY Times digital, said that in 2002 a majority of NY Times readers are online yet even today a majority of the journalists at The Times think they work for the print product. "Actually, they're working for an online newspaper that has a print edition." Great line. : While on the hit parade of old arguments, we got the argument that bloggers are an echo chamber seeking only their own views. I said that's a red herring. We link to that with which we disagree. Lee Rainie said that Pew found that the 15-20 percent of adult Americans (online or not) who eagerly seek news and information are more informed about views other than their own. : Rick Kaplan, the head of MSNBC -- the biggest blogsmart media outlet there is -- says he and his colleagues in journalism celebrate the growth of blogs and believe that the excitement blogs are stirring up will save news. Jay Rosen: Rick Kaplan, head of MSNBC, explaining that cable news is going to survive: "on people's involvement." That's what will feed their hunger for news and "talk." Look at the the way the ratings soared because of the campaign. It's not just that people were interested; they were involved. Kaplan's thinking: the bloggers are connected to the people who really care about events in the world. That's my core audience. That's the ultimate driver of demand. I made one empassioned plea during the conference, and it was on an issue I didn't know about or care about a year ago: the open archive. Most of the big news combines have, I believe, the wrong pollicy-- wrong for the future of the news industry, wrong for the practice of journalism, and wrong for the public on the Web. They believe in charging for their archive, and they change the urls (or Web address), meaning that all links to the original address go dead.
There is a ton more stuff, but this is what I've caught from the conference. I think essentially the majority agree with me that blogging and mainstream journalism are in more of a relationship than they realize, and both will flourish once they recognize this and embrace it.

Saturday, January 22, 2005

My girl

This is one of the many reasons I have a crush on Jenna Bush. I'm not posting a picture, but when you see it, you will understand. By the way, the other reasons all involve alcoholism and cute blonde chicks. UPDATE: NY Daily News has a great bit on Jenna flashing the Hook 'em Horns sign. It turns out that it is also sign language for "bullshit." Jenna is now up in the running for women who I'd most like to marry. Hottie weather lady Angela Montoya is tops on the list with Salma Hayek a very close second. Jenna is a full length behind in third and Paris Hilton is a way distant drunk-weekend-in-Mexico fourth.

Conventional Wisdom

Conventional wisdom in Washington seems to be that privatization is a "dead horse." No one is really out there talking about creating private accounts within Social Security by diverting payroll tax money. Democrats in Washington have drawn a line in the sand to create private accounts on top of Social Security. Call it the "third way" political jujitsu that Clintonites are famous for; winning the fight then retreating anyway. Truth be told, I'm sort of in favor of creating a national 401k plan, I just haven't seen anything that shows where this would be funded from. At the end of the day, if we keep it away from the payroll tax, I'll put it in the win column. But all of this makes one wonder why Bush wanted to piss on the third rail of American politics in the first place. Was it hubris? Did he really think he had a mandate and thus could just force privatization on us? Was Karl Rove, evil super genius that he is, responsible for getting private accounts through with bipartisan consent it seems by taking power from the reaction to Social Security? I mean, that would explain why they haven't actually proposed a plan yet. There was no plan, just a lot of strategic leaks to jump start the debate. Predictably, Democrats held the line, more or less, on not messing with SS, but they wanted to be all strategic and they didn't argue keeping SS intact on moral grounds. Just on the fiscal one. I'm inclined to think that it is possible, but not very likely. One, they're still at it. Two, CATO and other right-wing think tanks are still planning on putting money behind an ad blitz. Three, they've stopped using the term "privatization." And four, the rhetoric they've been using has been to create fear that SS will collapse. Crisis-mongering then just giving up will make them look like they are impotent, and they don't want that for another 4 years. I think they are still going to go for it, but I think they will lose and I think it will cost them in '06 for overreaching. Unless they pull a miracle out of their ass, Congressional Republicans are going to want to start exerting some control over the agenda. They are, after all, conservatives.

Friday, January 21, 2005

Well what do you know

This turns years of working at a newspaper on its head. I'm still not going to use it though.