Friday, October 29, 2004

Florida goes to Sen. Kerry

I know, it's a little early to start conceding states to certain candidates, but read this article in the Miami Herald and see if you don't come to the same conclusion. My favorite bit:

According to the Herald poll, done by Zogby International, Kerry is positioned to win Miami-Dade by anywhere from 90,000 to 100,000 votes.

A margin that large in Florida's most populous county would be hard for Bush to make up across the rest of the state.

Now I realize if the poll's margin of error were to fall in the president's favor, Kerry would beat Bush, 53 to 46 percent (instead of 56-43). But even then, because of new voters, Kerry would still walk away with 50,000 more votes than Bush.

But here is why the Herald poll rings true.

Between 2000 and 2004, the split between Democrats and Republican is virtually the same in almost every category.

Good news for us good guys.

A lot of this was obviously due to a lot of people knocking on a lot of doors and doing the kind of smart advertising in the latino community that was needed to get new people registered and informed. I've said it before, we just have to get them to show up and avoid some kind of massive voter challenge from Republicans and this election is ours.

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